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Predictions › Sweden › Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF
AllsvenskanSun 25 Oct, 15:30 Sweden time

Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF prediction

Strandvallen

Mjällby AIFHome
0.93 : 1.71
expected goals
Hammarby IFAway
20%Mjällby
25%Draw
55%Hammarby
Eagle safe pickHammarby IF or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF is Hammarby IF to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Hammarby IF to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mjällby AIF 0.9, Hammarby IF 1.7
Best bet
Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hammarby IF or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mjällby AIF 20%, the draw 25% and Hammarby IF 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mjällby AIF took 6 points from their last 5 games and Hammarby IF took 7 from 5. Hammarby IF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mjällby AIF won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Hammarby IF won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mjällby AIF score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Hammarby IF score 1.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Mjällby AIF games and 10 of Hammarby IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Mjällby AIF won 0 and Hammarby IF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Hammarby IF 3, Mjällby AIF 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hammarby IF or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mjällbyrecent form-1%
  • Hammarbyrecent form+1%
  • Mjällbyrest between games-5%
Mjällby form D D L D DHammarby form D W W D LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mjällby AIF host Hammarby IF in the Allsvenskan on Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 at Strandvallen. Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF is Hammarby IF to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.27.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Hammarby IF form

Hammarby IF have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Mjällby AIF won 0, Hammarby IF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Hammarby IF 3, Mjällby AIF 0.

Our call

We expect Mjällby AIF to score about 0.9 goals and Hammarby IF about 1.7. That points to Hammarby IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MjällbyHammarby
Games played2020
Wins511
Draws74
Losses85
Goals scored2738
Goals conceded3418
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game1.70.9
Home record3W 2D 6L7W 1D 2L
Away record2W 5D 2L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets15%40%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.66
Both teams to score50%1.99
Mjällby AIF or Draw45%2.23
Hammarby IF or Draw80%1.24
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.511%9.42
Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.533%3.01
Mjällby AIF clean sheet18%5.55
Hammarby IF clean sheet39%2.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
0-111.5%
0-210.4%
1-29.7%
0-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF?

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF is Hammarby IF to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Mjällby AIF to score 0.9 goals and Hammarby IF 1.7.

Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Mjällby AIF last 20 games and 10 of Hammarby IF last 20.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Hammarby IF playing?

Hammarby IF have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Mjällby AIF and Hammarby IF last met?

It ended Hammarby IF 3, Mjällby AIF 0. In the last 1 meeting Mjällby AIF won 0 and Hammarby IF won 1.

What is the best bet for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF?

Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mjällby against Hammarby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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