Predictions › Conference League › Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes
Conference LeagueThu 15 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes prediction

Olympia

Mjällby AIFHome
2.18 : 0.74
expected goals
Inter D'EscaldesAway
70%Mjällby
19%Draw
11%Inter D'Escaldes
Eagle safe pickMjällby AIF to win
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Mjällby AIF to win at 1.33.

Prediction
Mjällby AIF to win
Chance
70%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Mjällby AIF 2.2, Inter D'Escaldes 0.7
Best bet
Mjällby AIF to win at 1.33
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mjällby AIF to win
73% chancePrice 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mjällby AIF 70%, the draw 19% and Inter D'Escaldes 11%. The bookmakers agree and make Mjällby AIF the favourite at 1.33.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Mjällby AIF to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mjällbyrecent form-4%
  • Inter D'Escaldesrecent form+3%
Mjällby form L D D L LInter D'Escaldes form D D W W DHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes: Mjällby AIF are favourites

The big picture

Mjällby AIF host Inter D'Escaldes in the Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 16:45 at Olympia. Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Mjällby AIF to win at 1.33.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Inter D'Escaldes form

Inter D'Escaldes have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect Mjällby AIF to score about 2.2 goals and Inter D'Escaldes about 0.7. That points to Mjällby AIF to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Mjällby AIF to win at 1.33. Our bold bet is Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.5 at 2.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MjällbyInter D'Escaldes
Games played20n/a
Wins5n/a
Draws7n/a
Losses8n/a
Goals scored27n/a
Goals conceded33n/a
Scored per game1.4n/a
Conceded per game1.6n/a
Home record3W 1D 6Ln/a
Away record2W 6D 2Ln/a
Clean sheets20%n/a
Both teams scored55%n/a
Over 2.5 goals50%n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Mjällby AIF to win73%1.371.33-2.6%
A Draw19%5.265.25-0.1%
Inter D'Escaldes to win9%11.458.00-30.2%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.881.65-12.5%
Under 2.5 goals41%2.422.10-13.2%
Mjällby AIF -1.545%2.211.87-15.5%
Inter D'Escaldes +1.549%2.031.77-12.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.79
Over 3.5 goals33%2.99
Both teams to score47%2.13
Mjällby AIF or Draw89%1.12
Inter D'Escaldes or Draw30%3.32
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.546%2.18
Inter D'Escaldes to win and Over 2.56%17.16
Mjällby AIF clean sheet48%2.10
Inter D'Escaldes clean sheet11%8.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.8%
1-011.2%
2-19.5%
3-09.3%
1-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes?

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Mjällby AIF to win at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Mjällby AIF to score 2.2 goals and Inter D'Escaldes 0.7.

Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mjällby AIF vs Inter D'Escaldes?

Mjällby AIF to win at 1.33, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mjällby against Inter D'Escaldes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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