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Predictions › Sweden › Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF
AllsvenskanMon 2 Nov, 18:00 Sweden time

Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF prediction

Strandvallen

Mjällby AIFHome
1.11 : 0.96
expected goals
Kalmar FFAway
38%Mjällby
32%Draw
30%Kalmar FF
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Mjällby AIF to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mjällby AIF 1.1, Kalmar FF 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mjällby AIF 38%, the draw 32% and Kalmar FF 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mjällby AIF took 5 points from their last 5 games and Kalmar FF took 3 from 5. Mjällby AIF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mjällby AIF won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Kalmar FF won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mjällby AIF score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Kalmar FF score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Mjällby AIF games and 11 of Kalmar FF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Mjällby AIF won 0 and Kalmar FF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kalmar FF 2, Mjällby AIF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mjällbyrecent form-1%
  • Kalmar FFrecent form-6%
  • Mjällbyrest between games-5%
Mjällby form D L W D LKalmar FF form D L L L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF: Mjällby AIF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mjällby AIF host Kalmar FF in the Allsvenskan on Mon 2 Nov, 18:00 at Strandvallen. Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Kalmar FF form

Kalmar FF have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Mjällby AIF won 0, Kalmar FF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kalmar FF 2, Mjällby AIF 1.

Our call

We expect Mjällby AIF to score about 1.1 goals and Kalmar FF about 1.0. That points to Mjällby AIF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MjällbyKalmar FF
Games played2020
Wins36
Draws83
Losses911
Goals scored2320
Goals conceded3432
Scored per game1.11.0
Conceded per game1.71.6
Home record2W 2D 6L5W 1D 3L
Away record1W 6D 3L1W 2D 8L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals34%2.93
Over 3.5 goals16%6.44
Both teams to score42%2.37
Mjällby AIF or Draw70%1.43
Kalmar FF or Draw62%1.61
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.517%5.87
Kalmar FF to win and Over 2.513%7.63
Mjällby AIF clean sheet38%2.61
Kalmar FF clean sheet33%3.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-013.5%
1-013.2%
0-111.3%
2-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF?

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Mjällby AIF to score 1.1 goals and Kalmar FF 1.0.

Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Mjällby AIF last 20 games and 8 of Kalmar FF last 20.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Kalmar FF playing?

Kalmar FF have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Mjällby AIF and Kalmar FF last met?

It ended Kalmar FF 2, Mjällby AIF 1. In the last 1 meeting Mjällby AIF won 0 and Kalmar FF won 1.

What is the best bet for Mjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mjällby against Kalmar FF. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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