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Predictions › Sweden › Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF
AllsvenskanSat 21 Nov, 14:00 Sweden time

Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF prediction

Strandvallen

Mjällby AIFHome
0.68 : 1.30
expected goals
Malmö FFAway
19%Mjällby
30%Draw
51%Malmö
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Malmö FF to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Mjällby AIF 0.7, Malmö FF 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
37%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
17% chanceFair price 5.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mjällby AIF 19%, the draw 30% and Malmö FF 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mjällby AIF took 8 points from their last 5 games and Malmö FF took 5 from 5. Mjällby AIF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mjällby AIF won 3 of their last 12 games at home. Malmö FF won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mjällby AIF score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Malmö FF score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Mjällby AIF games and 11 of Malmö FF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Mjällby AIF won 1 and Malmö FF won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Malmö FF 2, Mjällby AIF 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mjällbyrecent form+1%
  • Malmörecent form-1%
Mjällby form D W D W LMalmö form D L W D LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF: Malmö FF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mjällby AIF host Malmö FF in the Allsvenskan on Sat 21 Nov, 14:00 at Strandvallen. Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Malmö FF form

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Mjällby AIF won 1, Malmö FF won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Malmö FF 2, Mjällby AIF 3.

Our call

We expect Mjällby AIF to score about 0.7 goals and Malmö FF about 1.3. That points to Malmö FF to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 5.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MjällbyMalmö
Games played2020
Wins49
Draws74
Losses97
Goals scored1729
Goals conceded2921
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record3W 3D 6L4W 1D 6L
Away record1W 4D 3L5W 3D 1L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored45%40%
Over 2.5 goals35%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.68
Over 2.5 goals32%3.15
Over 3.5 goals14%7.18
Both teams to score37%2.74
Mjällby AIF or Draw49%2.04
Malmö FF or Draw81%1.23
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.57%14.61
Malmö FF to win and Over 2.522%4.55
Mjällby AIF clean sheet27%3.68
Malmö FF clean sheet51%1.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-117.3%
0-014.5%
1-112.9%
0-211.7%
1-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF?

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Mjällby AIF to score 0.7 goals and Malmö FF 1.3.

Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF?

Both teams to score has a 37% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Mjällby AIF last 20 games and 8 of Malmö FF last 20.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Malmö FF playing?

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Mjällby AIF and Malmö FF last met?

It ended Malmö FF 2, Mjällby AIF 3. In the last 1 meeting Mjällby AIF won 1 and Malmö FF won 0.

What is the best bet for Mjällby AIF vs Malmö FF?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mjällby against Malmö. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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