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Predictions › Norway › Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
EliteserienFri 20 Nov, 18:00 Norway time

Molde vs Bodo/Glimt prediction

Aker Stadion

MoldeHome
1.69 : 1.63
expected goals
Bodo/GlimtAway
39%Molde
24%Draw
37%Bodo/Glimt
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt is Molde to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Molde to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Molde 1.7, Bodo/Glimt 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Molde to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Molde 39%, the draw 24% and Bodo/Glimt 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Molde took 8 points from their last 5 games and Bodo/Glimt took 7 from 5. Molde come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Molde won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Bodo/Glimt won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Molde score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.8. Bodo/Glimt score 2.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Molde games and 13 of Bodo/Glimt games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Molde won 1 and Bodo/Glimt won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bodo/Glimt 0, Molde 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Molderecent form+1%
  • Molderest between games-2%
  • Bodo/Glimtrest between games-2%
Molde form D L W W DBodo/Glimt form W D W L LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Molde vs Bodo/Glimt: Molde shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Molde host Bodo/Glimt in the Eliteserien on Fri 20 Nov, 18:00 at Aker Stadion. Our prediction for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt is Molde to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Molde form

Molde have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Bodo/Glimt form

Bodo/Glimt have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Molde won 1, Bodo/Glimt won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bodo/Glimt 0, Molde 1.

Our call

We expect Molde to score about 1.7 goals and Bodo/Glimt about 1.6. That points to Molde to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Molde to win and Over 2.5 at 3.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MoldeBodo/Glimt
Games played2020
Wins1014
Draws42
Losses64
Goals scored5141
Goals conceded3623
Scored per game2.52.0
Conceded per game1.81.1
Home record6W 1D 2L8W 1D 1L
Away record4W 3D 4L6W 1D 3L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored80%45%
Over 2.5 goals80%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.55
Over 3.5 goals42%2.37
Both teams to score66%1.51
Molde or Draw63%1.58
Bodo/Glimt or Draw61%1.64
Molde to win and Over 2.528%3.51
Bodo/Glimt to win and Over 2.527%3.77
Molde clean sheet20%5.08
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet19%5.40

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-18.4%
1-28.1%
2-26.8%
1-05.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?

Our prediction for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt is Molde to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Molde to score 1.7 goals and Bodo/Glimt 1.6.

Will both teams score in Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Molde last 20 games and 9 of Bodo/Glimt last 20.

How are Molde playing?

Molde have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Bodo/Glimt playing?

Bodo/Glimt have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Molde and Bodo/Glimt last met?

It ended Bodo/Glimt 0, Molde 1. In the last 2 meetings Molde won 1 and Bodo/Glimt won 1.

What is the best bet for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Molde against Bodo/Glimt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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