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Predictions › Norway › Molde vs IK Start
EliteserienSun 18 Oct, 15:00 Norway time

Molde vs IK Start prediction

Aker Stadion

MoldeHome
2.78 : 0.99
expected goals
IK StartAway
74%Molde
15%Draw
10%IK Start
Eagle safe pickMolde draw no bet
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Molde vs IK Start is Molde to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Molde draw no bet at 1.17.

Prediction
Molde to win
Chance
74%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Molde 2.8, IK Start 1.0
Best bet
Molde draw no bet at 1.17
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Molde draw no bet
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Molde to win and both score
37% chanceFair price 2.681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Molde 74%, the draw 15% and IK Start 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Molde took 12 points from their last 5 games and IK Start took 6 from 5. Molde come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Molde won 6 of their last 10 games at home. IK Start won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Molde score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. IK Start score 1.1 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Molde games and 12 of IK Start games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Molde won 0 and IK Start won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended IK Start 1, Molde 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Molde draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Molderecent form+4%
  • IK Startrecent form-1%
Molde form L W W W WIK Start form L W L W LHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Molde vs IK Start: Molde are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Molde host IK Start in the Eliteserien on Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 at Aker Stadion. Our prediction for Molde vs IK Start is Molde to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Molde draw no bet at 1.17.

Molde form

Molde have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

IK Start form

IK Start have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Molde won 0, IK Start won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished IK Start 1, Molde 1.

Our call

We expect Molde to score about 2.8 goals and IK Start about 1.0. That points to Molde to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Molde draw no bet at 1.17. Our bold bet is Molde to win and both score at 2.68.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MoldeIK Start
Games played2020
Wins104
Draws34
Losses712
Goals scored4222
Goals conceded3242
Scored per game2.11.1
Conceded per game1.62.1
Home record6W 1D 3L3W 3D 4L
Away record4W 2D 4L1W 1D 8L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals73%1.38
Over 3.5 goals52%1.92
Both teams to score59%1.69
Molde or Draw90%1.12
IK Start or Draw26%3.88
Molde to win and Over 2.559%1.69
IK Start to win and Over 2.57%13.63
Molde clean sheet37%2.69
IK Start clean sheet6%16.08

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-08.9%
2-18.8%
3-08.3%
3-18.2%
1-16.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Molde vs IK Start?

Our prediction for Molde vs IK Start is Molde to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Molde draw no bet at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Molde vs IK Start?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect Molde to score 2.8 goals and IK Start 1.0.

Will both teams score in Molde vs IK Start?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Molde last 20 games and 12 of IK Start last 20.

How are Molde playing?

Molde have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are IK Start playing?

IK Start have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Molde and IK Start last met?

It ended IK Start 1, Molde 1. In the last 1 meeting Molde won 0 and IK Start won 0.

What is the best bet for Molde vs IK Start?

Molde draw no bet at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Molde against IK Start. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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