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Predictions › Mexico › Monterrey vs Tijuana
Liga MXSun 1 Nov, 01:00 Mexico time

Monterrey vs Tijuana prediction

Estadio BBVA

MonterreyHome
1.85 : 1.14
expected goals
TijuanaAway
53%Monterrey
24%Draw
23%Tijuana
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Monterrey vs Tijuana is Monterrey to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Monterrey to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Monterrey 1.9, Tijuana 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Monterrey to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Monterrey 53%, the draw 24% and Tijuana 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Monterrey took 10 points from their last 5 games and Tijuana took 4 from 5. Monterrey come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Monterrey won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Tijuana won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Monterrey score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Tijuana score 1.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Monterrey games and 11 of Tijuana games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Monterrey won 0 and Tijuana won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Monterrey 2, Tijuana 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Monterreyrecent form+1%
  • Tijuanarecent form-1%
  • Monterreyrest between games-5%
  • Tijuanarest between games-5%
Monterrey form D W D L WTijuana form D D D L DHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Monterrey vs Tijuana: Monterrey are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Monterrey host Tijuana in the Liga MX on Sun 1 Nov, 01:00 at Estadio BBVA. Our prediction for Monterrey vs Tijuana is Monterrey to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Monterrey form

Monterrey have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Tijuana form

Tijuana have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Monterrey won 0, Tijuana won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Monterrey 2, Tijuana 2.

Our call

We expect Monterrey to score about 1.9 goals and Tijuana about 1.1. That points to Monterrey to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Monterrey to win and Over 2.5 at 2.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MonterreyTijuana
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws57
Losses85
Goals scored3228
Goals conceded3224
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.61.2
Home record5W 1D 4L6W 1D 3L
Away record2W 4D 4L2W 6D 2L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.86
Both teams to score58%1.73
Monterrey or Draw77%1.29
Tijuana or Draw47%2.15
Monterrey to win and Over 2.536%2.77
Tijuana to win and Over 2.514%7.03
Monterrey clean sheet32%3.11
Tijuana clean sheet16%6.37

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19.8%
1-08.7%
2-08.6%
3-16.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Monterrey vs Tijuana?

Our prediction for Monterrey vs Tijuana is Monterrey to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Monterrey vs Tijuana?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Monterrey to score 1.9 goals and Tijuana 1.1.

Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Tijuana?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Monterrey last 20 games and 11 of Tijuana last 20.

How are Monterrey playing?

Monterrey have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Tijuana playing?

Tijuana have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Monterrey and Tijuana last met?

It ended Monterrey 2, Tijuana 2. In the last 2 meetings Monterrey won 0 and Tijuana won 0.

What is the best bet for Monterrey vs Tijuana?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Monterrey against Tijuana. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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