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Predictions › Uruguay › Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSun 25 Oct, 16:00 Uruguay time

Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro prediction

Estadio Charrúa

Montevideo City TorqueHome
1.98 : 1.18
expected goals
CerroAway
55%MC Torque
23%Draw
22%Cerro
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Montevideo City Torque to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Montevideo City Torque 2.0, Cerro 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montevideo City Torque 55%, the draw 23% and Cerro 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montevideo City Torque took 7 points from their last 5 games and Cerro took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montevideo City Torque won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Cerro won 4 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Montevideo City Torque score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. Cerro score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Montevideo City Torque games and 9 of Cerro games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Montevideo City Torque won 0 and Cerro won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Cerro 1, Montevideo City Torque 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • MC Torquerecent form-1%
  • Cerrorecent form-1%
MC Torque form D W L D LCerro form D L D L WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro: Montevideo City Torque are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Montevideo City Torque host Cerro in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 at Estadio Charrúa. Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Montevideo City Torque form

Montevideo City Torque have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Cerro form

Cerro have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Montevideo City Torque won 0, Cerro won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Cerro 1, Montevideo City Torque 1.

Our call

We expect Montevideo City Torque to score about 2.0 goals and Cerro about 1.2. That points to Montevideo City Torque to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.5 at 2.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MC TorqueCerro
Games played2020
Wins138
Draws23
Losses59
Goals scored3819
Goals conceded2427
Scored per game1.90.9
Conceded per game1.21.4
Home record7W 1D 4L4W 0D 4L
Away record6W 1D 1L4W 3D 5L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored70%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63
Over 3.5 goals39%2.57
Both teams to score60%1.66
Montevideo City Torque or Draw78%1.28
Cerro or Draw45%2.23
Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.539%2.55
Cerro to win and Over 2.515%6.89
Montevideo City Torque clean sheet31%3.27
Cerro clean sheet14%7.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.8%
2-08.3%
1-07.8%
3-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro?

Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Montevideo City Torque to score 2.0 goals and Cerro 1.2.

Will both teams score in Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Montevideo City Torque last 20 games and 9 of Cerro last 20.

How are Montevideo City Torque playing?

Montevideo City Torque have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Cerro playing?

Cerro have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Montevideo City Torque and Cerro last met?

It ended Cerro 1, Montevideo City Torque 1. In the last 2 meetings Montevideo City Torque won 0 and Cerro won 1.

What is the best bet for Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in MC Torque against Cerro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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