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Predictions › Uruguay › Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSun 11 Oct, 00:30 Uruguay time

Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio prediction

Estadio Charrúa

Montevideo City TorqueHome
1.67 : 0.88
expected goals
DanubioAway
56%MC Torque
26%Draw
19%Danubio
Eagle safe pickMontevideo City Torque or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Montevideo City Torque or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Montevideo City Torque to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Montevideo City Torque 1.7, Danubio 0.9
Best bet
Montevideo City Torque or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Montevideo City Torque or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montevideo City Torque 56%, the draw 26% and Danubio 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montevideo City Torque took 10 points from their last 5 games and Danubio took 2 from 5. Montevideo City Torque come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montevideo City Torque won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Danubio won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Montevideo City Torque score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. Danubio score 0.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Montevideo City Torque games and 7 of Danubio games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Montevideo City Torque won 1 and Danubio won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Montevideo City Torque 1, Danubio 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Montevideo City Torque or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • MC Torquerecent form+3%
  • Danubiorecent form-4%
  • MC Torquerest between games-5%
MC Torque form D L W W WDanubio form L D D L LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio: Montevideo City Torque are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Montevideo City Torque host Danubio in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sun 11 Oct, 00:30 at Estadio Charrúa. Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Montevideo City Torque or Draw at 1.27.

Montevideo City Torque form

Montevideo City Torque have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Danubio form

Danubio have 1 win, 10 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Montevideo City Torque won 1, Danubio won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Montevideo City Torque 1, Danubio 0.

Our call

We expect Montevideo City Torque to score about 1.7 goals and Danubio about 0.9. That points to Montevideo City Torque to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Montevideo City Torque or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.5 at 3.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MC TorqueDanubio
Games played2020
Wins121
Draws310
Losses59
Goals scored3812
Goals conceded2426
Scored per game1.90.6
Conceded per game1.21.3
Home record6W 1D 5L0W 5D 4L
Away record6W 2D 0L1W 5D 5L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored75%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%3.95
Both teams to score48%2.08
Montevideo City Torque or Draw81%1.23
Danubio or Draw44%2.25
Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.532%3.10
Danubio to win and Over 2.510%10.31
Montevideo City Torque clean sheet42%2.40
Danubio clean sheet19%5.33

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.4%
1-112.1%
2-011.0%
2-19.6%
0-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio?

Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Montevideo City Torque or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Montevideo City Torque to score 1.7 goals and Danubio 0.9.

Will both teams score in Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Montevideo City Torque last 20 games and 9 of Danubio last 20.

How are Montevideo City Torque playing?

Montevideo City Torque have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Danubio playing?

Danubio have 1 win, 10 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Montevideo City Torque and Danubio last met?

It ended Montevideo City Torque 1, Danubio 0. In the last 3 meetings Montevideo City Torque won 1 and Danubio won 1.

What is the best bet for Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio?

Montevideo City Torque or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in MC Torque against Danubio. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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