Predictions › Uruguay › Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool

Uruguayan Primera DivisionMon 14 Sept, 22:00 Uruguay time

Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool prediction

Estadio Charrúa

Montevideo City TorqueHome

1.15 : 1.47

expected goals

LiverpoolAway

29%MC Torque

27%Draw

44%Liverpool

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction: Liverpool to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Montevideo City Torque 1.1, Liverpool 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Montevideo City Torque 29%, the draw 27% and Liverpool 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Liverpool the favourite at 2.10.
2
Recent form
Montevideo City Torque took 12 points from their last 5 games and Liverpool took 13 from 5. Liverpool come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Montevideo City Torque won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Liverpool won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Montevideo City Torque score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Liverpool score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Montevideo City Torque games and 9 of Liverpool games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Montevideo City Torque won 0 and Liverpool won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Liverpool 0, Montevideo City Torque 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

MC Torquerecent form+4%
Liverpoolrecent form+6%

MC Torque form L W W W WLiverpool form W D W W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool: Liverpool shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Montevideo City Torque host Liverpool in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Mon 14 Sept, 22:00 at Estadio Charrúa. Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Montevideo City Torque form

Montevideo City Torque have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Montevideo City Torque won 0, Liverpool won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Liverpool 0, Montevideo City Torque 0.

Our call

We expect Montevideo City Torque to score about 1.1 goals and Liverpool about 1.5. That points to Liverpool to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.68.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	MC Torque	Liverpool
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	8
Draws	3	7
Losses	6	5
Goals scored	35	29
Goals conceded	25	19
Scored per game	1.8	1.4
Conceded per game	1.3	0.9
Home record	6W 0D 5L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	5W 3D 1L	4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets	10%	50%
Both teams scored	75%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Montevideo City Torque to win	27%	3.67	3.15	-14.2%
A Draw	26%	3.88	3.30	-15.0%
Liverpool to win	41%	2.43	2.10	-13.6%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	2.22	2.00	-10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	53%	1.90	1.71	-10.0%
Montevideo City Torque +0.5	56%	1.78	1.63	-8.9%
Liverpool -0.5	41%	2.41	2.05	-15.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.34
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.05
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.71
Both teams to score	53%	1.87
Montevideo City Torque or Draw	56%	1.78
Liverpool or Draw	71%	1.41
Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.08
Liverpool to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.84
Montevideo City Torque clean sheet	23%	4.37
Liverpool clean sheet	32%	3.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%

0-19.9%

1-29.1%

0-08.0%

0-27.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool?

Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Montevideo City Torque to score 1.1 goals and Liverpool 1.5.

Will both teams score in Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Montevideo City Torque last 20 games and 8 of Liverpool last 20.

How are Montevideo City Torque playing?

How are Liverpool playing?

What happened when Montevideo City Torque and Liverpool last met?

It ended Liverpool 0, Montevideo City Torque 0. In the last 1 meeting Montevideo City Torque won 0 and Liverpool won 0.

What is the best bet for Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in MC Torque against Liverpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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