Predictions › Uruguay › Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo)
Uruguayan Primera DivisionFri 13 Nov, 20:00 Uruguay time

Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo) prediction

Estadio Luis Franzini

Montevideo City TorqueHome
1.60 : 1.14
expected goals
Racing (Montevideo)Away
47%MC Torque
26%Draw
26%Racing (M)
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo) is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Montevideo City Torque to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Montevideo City Torque 1.6, Racing (Montevideo) 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montevideo City Torque 47%, the draw 26% and Racing (Montevideo) 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montevideo City Torque took 9 points from their last 5 games and Racing (Montevideo) took 7 from 5. Montevideo City Torque come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montevideo City Torque won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Racing (Montevideo) won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Montevideo City Torque score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Racing (Montevideo) score 1.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Montevideo City Torque games and 6 of Racing (Montevideo) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Montevideo City Torque won 0 and Racing (Montevideo) won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Racing (Montevideo) 1, Montevideo City Torque 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • MC Torquerecent form+1%
  • Racing (M)recent form-1%
MC Torque form W W W L LRacing (M) form D D W L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo): Montevideo City Torque are favourites

The big picture

Montevideo City Torque host Racing (Montevideo) in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Fri 13 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Luis Franzini. Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo) is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Montevideo City Torque form

Montevideo City Torque have 13 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Racing (Montevideo) form

Racing (Montevideo) have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Montevideo City Torque won 0, Racing (Montevideo) won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Racing (Montevideo) 1, Montevideo City Torque 1.

Our call

We expect Montevideo City Torque to score about 1.6 goals and Racing (Montevideo) about 1.1. That points to Montevideo City Torque to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.5 at 3.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MC TorqueRacing (M)
Games played2020
Wins137
Draws18
Losses65
Goals scored3722
Goals conceded2517
Scored per game1.91.1
Conceded per game1.30.8
Home record6W 1D 4L7W 2D 1L
Away record7W 0D 2L0W 6D 4L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored70%35%
Over 2.5 goals65%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.94
Over 3.5 goals29%3.39
Both teams to score55%1.82
Montevideo City Torque or Draw74%1.36
Racing (Montevideo) or Draw53%1.90
Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.529%3.39
Racing (Montevideo) to win and Over 2.516%6.43
Montevideo City Torque clean sheet32%3.12
Racing (Montevideo) clean sheet20%4.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-09.6%
2-19.4%
2-08.3%
0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo)?

Our prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo) is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo)?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Montevideo City Torque to score 1.6 goals and Racing (Montevideo) 1.1.

Will both teams score in Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo)?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Montevideo City Torque last 20 games and 7 of Racing (Montevideo) last 20.

How are Montevideo City Torque playing?

Montevideo City Torque have 13 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Racing (Montevideo) playing?

Racing (Montevideo) have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Montevideo City Torque and Racing (Montevideo) last met?

It ended Racing (Montevideo) 1, Montevideo City Torque 1. In the last 1 meeting Montevideo City Torque won 0 and Racing (Montevideo) won 0.

What is the best bet for Montevideo City Torque vs Racing (Montevideo)?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in MC Torque against Racing (M). A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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