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Predictions › Uruguay › Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSun 11 Oct, 13:00 Uruguay time

Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River prediction

Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Montevideo WanderersHome
1.65 : 0.84
expected goals
Boston RiverAway
56%Wanderers
26%Draw
18%Boston River
Eagle safe pickMontevideo Wanderers or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River is Montevideo Wanderers to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Montevideo Wanderers or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
Montevideo Wanderers to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Montevideo Wanderers 1.6, Boston River 0.8
Best bet
Montevideo Wanderers or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Montevideo Wanderers or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Montevideo Wanderers to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montevideo Wanderers 56%, the draw 26% and Boston River 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montevideo Wanderers took 8 points from their last 5 games and Boston River took 1 from 5. Montevideo Wanderers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montevideo Wanderers won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Boston River won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Montevideo Wanderers score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Boston River score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Montevideo Wanderers games and 11 of Boston River games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Montevideo Wanderers won 0 and Boston River won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Boston River 4, Montevideo Wanderers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Montevideo Wanderers or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wanderersrecent form+1%
  • Boston Riverrecent form-6%
  • Wanderersrest between games-2%
Wanderers form W D D L WBoston River form L L L L DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River: Montevideo Wanderers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Montevideo Wanderers host Boston River in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 at Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera. Our prediction for Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River is Montevideo Wanderers to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Montevideo Wanderers or Draw at 1.26.

Montevideo Wanderers form

Montevideo Wanderers have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Boston River form

Boston River have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Montevideo Wanderers won 0, Boston River won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Boston River 4, Montevideo Wanderers 1.

Our call

We expect Montevideo Wanderers to score about 1.6 goals and Boston River about 0.8. That points to Montevideo Wanderers to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Montevideo Wanderers or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Montevideo Wanderers to win and Over 2.5 at 3.28.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WanderersBoston River
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws64
Losses511
Goals scored2720
Goals conceded2431
Scored per game1.41.0
Conceded per game1.21.6
Home record5W 4D 0L3W 3D 2L
Away record4W 2D 5L2W 1D 9L
Clean sheets40%15%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%2.20
Over 3.5 goals24%4.16
Both teams to score47%2.14
Montevideo Wanderers or Draw82%1.23
Boston River or Draw44%2.26
Montevideo Wanderers to win and Over 2.532%3.17
Boston River to win and Over 2.59%10.89
Montevideo Wanderers clean sheet43%2.33
Boston River clean sheet19%5.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.0%
1-112.2%
2-011.2%
2-19.5%
0-09.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?

Our prediction for Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River is Montevideo Wanderers to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Montevideo Wanderers or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Montevideo Wanderers to score 1.6 goals and Boston River 0.8.

Will both teams score in Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Montevideo Wanderers last 20 games and 11 of Boston River last 20.

How are Montevideo Wanderers playing?

Montevideo Wanderers have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Boston River playing?

Boston River have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Montevideo Wanderers and Boston River last met?

It ended Boston River 4, Montevideo Wanderers 1. In the last 2 meetings Montevideo Wanderers won 0 and Boston River won 1.

What is the best bet for Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?

Montevideo Wanderers or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wanderers against Boston River. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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