Predictions › France › Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93
Ligue 2Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 France time

Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93 prediction

Stade de la Mosson

MontpellierHome
1.17 : 1.20
expected goals
Red Star FC 93Away
34%Montpellier
29%Draw
36%Red Star FC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93 is Red Star FC 93 to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Red Star FC 93 to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Montpellier 1.2, Red Star FC 93 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montpellier 34%, the draw 29% and Red Star FC 93 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montpellier took 8 points from their last 5 games and Red Star FC 93 took 12 from 5. Red Star FC 93 come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montpellier won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Red Star FC 93 won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Montpellier score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.7. Red Star FC 93 score 1.5 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Montpellier games and 10 of Red Star FC 93 games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Montpellier won 0 and Red Star FC 93 won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Red Star FC 93 1, Montpellier 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Star FC recent form+3%
Montpellier form D D W L DRed Star FC form D W W W LHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93: Red Star FC 93 shade it

The big picture

Montpellier host Red Star FC 93 in the Ligue 2 on Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 at Stade de la Mosson. Our prediction for Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93 is Red Star FC 93 to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Montpellier form

Montpellier have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Red Star FC 93 form

Red Star FC 93 have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Montpellier won 0, Red Star FC 93 won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Red Star FC 93 1, Montpellier 1.

Our call

We expect Montpellier to score about 1.2 goals and Red Star FC 93 about 1.2. That points to Red Star FC 93 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MontpellierRed Star FC
Games played2020
Wins911
Draws85
Losses34
Goals scored2530
Goals conceded1424
Scored per game1.31.5
Conceded per game0.71.2
Home record5W 4D 1L5W 4D 1L
Away record4W 4D 2L6W 1D 3L
Clean sheets55%35%
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals30%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.37
Over 3.5 goals21%4.65
Both teams to score49%2.04
Montpellier or Draw64%1.57
Red Star FC 93 or Draw66%1.52
Montpellier to win and Over 2.518%5.60
Red Star FC 93 to win and Over 2.519%5.27
Montpellier clean sheet30%3.33
Red Star FC 93 clean sheet31%3.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
0-110.5%
0-010.1%
1-010.1%
1-27.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93?

Our prediction for Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93 is Red Star FC 93 to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Montpellier to score 1.2 goals and Red Star FC 93 1.2.

Will both teams score in Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Montpellier last 20 games and 12 of Red Star FC 93 last 20.

How are Montpellier playing?

Montpellier have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Red Star FC 93 playing?

Red Star FC 93 have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Montpellier and Red Star FC 93 last met?

It ended Red Star FC 93 1, Montpellier 1. In the last 1 meeting Montpellier won 0 and Red Star FC 93 won 0.

What is the best bet for Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Montpellier against Red Star FC . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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