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Predictions › Italy › Monza vs Atalanta
Serie ASun 8 Nov, 14:00 Italy time

Monza vs Atalanta prediction

U-Power Stadium

MonzaHome
1.84 : 1.62
expected goals
AtalantaAway
43%Monza
23%Draw
34%Atalanta
Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score
1.48

Quick answer

Our prediction for Monza vs Atalanta is Monza to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.48.

Prediction
Monza to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Monza 1.8, Atalanta 1.6
Best bet
Both teams to score at 1.48
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score
68% chanceFair price 1.481 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Monza to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Monza 43%, the draw 23% and Atalanta 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Monza took 6 points from their last 5 games and Atalanta took 7 from 5. Atalanta come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Monza won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Atalanta won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Monza score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.6. Atalanta score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Monza games and 11 of Atalanta games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Both teams to score has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Monzarest between games-5%
Monza form D L W L WAtalanta form D L L W WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Monza vs Atalanta: Monza shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Monza host Atalanta in the Serie A on Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 at U-Power Stadium. Our prediction for Monza vs Atalanta is Monza to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.48.

Monza form

Monza have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Atalanta form

Atalanta have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Monza to score about 1.8 goals and Atalanta about 1.6. That points to Monza to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at 1.48. Our bold bet is Monza to win and Over 2.5 at 3.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MonzaAtalanta
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws64
Losses79
Goals scored3429
Goals conceded3231
Scored per game1.71.4
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record5W 3D 2L5W 2D 3L
Away record2W 3D 5L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals45%2.20
Both teams to score68%1.47
Monza or Draw66%1.51
Atalanta or Draw57%1.75
Monza to win and Over 2.532%3.11
Atalanta to win and Over 2.525%3.97
Monza clean sheet20%5.06
Atalanta clean sheet16%6.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
2-18.6%
1-27.6%
2-27.0%
2-05.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?

Our prediction for Monza vs Atalanta is Monza to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.48.

What is the score prediction for Monza vs Atalanta?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Monza to score 1.8 goals and Atalanta 1.6.

Will both teams score in Monza vs Atalanta?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Monza last 20 games and 12 of Atalanta last 20.

How are Monza playing?

Monza have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Atalanta playing?

Atalanta have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Monza vs Atalanta?

Both teams to score at 1.48, with a 68% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Monza against Atalanta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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