Predictions › United Kingdom › Motherwell vs Rangers
Scottish PremiershipSat 21 Nov, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Motherwell vs Rangers prediction

Fir Park

MotherwellHome
1.15 : 2.05
expected goals
RangersAway
20%Motherwell
22%Draw
57%Rangers
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Motherwell vs Rangers is Rangers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction
Rangers to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Motherwell 1.1, Rangers 2.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rangers to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Motherwell 20%, the draw 22% and Rangers 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Rangers the favourite at 8/15.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Motherwell took 5 points from their last 5 games and Rangers took 11 from 5. Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Motherwell won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Rangers won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Motherwell score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.7. Rangers score 2.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Motherwell games and 14 of Rangers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Motherwell won 1 and Rangers won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended Rangers 1, Motherwell 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Motherwellrecent form-1%
  • Rangersrecent form+3%
Motherwell form D W D L LRangers form D W D W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Motherwell vs Rangers: Rangers are favourites

The big picture

Motherwell host Rangers in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 at Fir Park. Our prediction for Motherwell vs Rangers is Rangers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Motherwell form

Motherwell have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Rangers form

Rangers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Motherwell won 1, Rangers won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Rangers 1, Motherwell 0.

Our call

We expect Motherwell to score about 1.1 goals and Rangers about 2.0. That points to Rangers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Rangers to win and Over 2.5 at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MotherwellRangers
Games played2020
Wins512
Draws53
Losses105
Goals scored2545
Goals conceded3427
Scored per game1.32.3
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record2W 2D 5L6W 0D 3L
Away record3W 3D 5L6W 3D 2L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Motherwell to win20%4/14/1-4.1%
A Draw22%7/27/2-2.9%
Rangers to win52%10/118/15-20.6%
Over 3.5 goals39%6/45/4-11.7%
Under 3.5 goals54%5/68/15-17.3%
Motherwell +1.558%8/111/2-14.3%
Rangers -1.537%7/45/4-14.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1/5
Over 2.5 goals62%8/13
Over 3.5 goals40%6/4
Both teams to score60%4/6
Motherwell or Draw43%11/8
Rangers or Draw80%1/4
Motherwell to win and Over 2.514%13/2
Rangers to win and Over 2.541%7/5
Motherwell clean sheet13%13/2
Rangers clean sheet32%11/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
1-29.8%
0-28.5%
0-17.8%
1-36.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Motherwell vs Rangers?

Our prediction for Motherwell vs Rangers is Rangers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Motherwell vs Rangers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Motherwell to score 1.1 goals and Rangers 2.0.

Will both teams score in Motherwell vs Rangers?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Motherwell last 20 games and 14 of Rangers last 20.

How are Motherwell playing?

Motherwell have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Rangers playing?

Rangers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Motherwell and Rangers last met?

It ended Rangers 1, Motherwell 0. In the last 4 meetings Motherwell won 1 and Rangers won 2.

What is the best bet for Motherwell vs Rangers?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Motherwell against Rangers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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