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Predictions › United Kingdom › Motherwell vs St Mirren
Scottish PremiershipSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Motherwell vs St Mirren prediction

Fir Park

MotherwellHome
1.54 : 0.86
expected goals
St MirrenAway
53%Motherwell
27%Draw
20%St Mirren
Eagle safe pickMotherwell or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Motherwell vs St Mirren is Motherwell to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Motherwell or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Motherwell to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Motherwell 1.5, St Mirren 0.9
Best bet
Motherwell or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Motherwell or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Motherwell to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Motherwell 53%, the draw 27% and St Mirren 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Motherwell took 0 points from their last 5 games and St Mirren took 0 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Motherwell won 2 of their last 9 games at home. St Mirren won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Motherwell score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.7. St Mirren score 0.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Motherwell games and 8 of St Mirren games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Motherwell won 2 and St Mirren won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended St Mirren 3, Motherwell 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Motherwell or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Motherwellrecent form-6%
  • St Mirrenrecent form-6%
Motherwell form D L L L LSt Mirren form D L L L LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Motherwell vs St Mirren: Motherwell are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Motherwell host St Mirren in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Fir Park. Our prediction for Motherwell vs St Mirren is Motherwell to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Motherwell or Draw at 1/4.

Motherwell form

Motherwell have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

St Mirren form

St Mirren have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Motherwell won 2, St Mirren won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished St Mirren 3, Motherwell 3.

Our call

We expect Motherwell to score about 1.5 goals and St Mirren about 0.9. That points to Motherwell to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Motherwell or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Motherwell to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MotherwellSt Mirren
Games played2020
Wins56
Draws43
Losses1111
Goals scored2518
Goals conceded3430
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.71.5
Home record2W 3D 4L2W 2D 5L
Away record3W 1D 7L4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored55%35%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%4/9
Over 2.5 goals43%11/8
Over 3.5 goals22%7/2
Both teams to score46%6/5
Motherwell or Draw80%1/4
St Mirren or Draw47%11/10
Motherwell to win and Over 2.529%5/2
St Mirren to win and Over 2.510%9/1
Motherwell clean sheet42%11/8
St Mirren clean sheet21%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.2%
1-112.7%
2-010.7%
0-09.8%
2-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Motherwell vs St Mirren?

Our prediction for Motherwell vs St Mirren is Motherwell to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Motherwell or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Motherwell vs St Mirren?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Motherwell to score 1.5 goals and St Mirren 0.9.

Will both teams score in Motherwell vs St Mirren?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Motherwell last 20 games and 7 of St Mirren last 20.

How are Motherwell playing?

Motherwell have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are St Mirren playing?

St Mirren have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Motherwell and St Mirren last met?

It ended St Mirren 3, Motherwell 3. In the last 3 meetings Motherwell won 2 and St Mirren won 0.

What is the best bet for Motherwell vs St Mirren?

Motherwell or Draw at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Motherwell against St Mirren. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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