EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Uruguay › Nacional vs Albion FC
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSun 15 Nov, 20:00 Uruguay time

Nacional vs Albion FC prediction

Gran Parque Central

NacionalHome
1.30 : 1.07
expected goals
Albion FCAway
41%Nacional
29%Draw
30%Albion
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nacional vs Albion FC is Nacional to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Nacional to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Nacional 1.3, Albion FC 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nacional 41%, the draw 29% and Albion FC 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nacional took 12 points from their last 5 games and Albion FC took 13 from 5. Albion FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nacional won 8 of their last 12 games at home. Albion FC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nacional score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.0. Albion FC score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Nacional games and 11 of Albion FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Nacional won 1 and Albion FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Nacional 1, Albion FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nacionalrecent form+4%
  • Albionrecent form+6%
  • Albionrest between games-2%
Nacional form W L W W WAlbion form D W W W WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nacional vs Albion FC: Nacional shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nacional host Albion FC in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sun 15 Nov, 20:00 at Gran Parque Central. Our prediction for Nacional vs Albion FC is Nacional to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Nacional form

Nacional have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Albion FC form

Albion FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Nacional won 1, Albion FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Nacional 1, Albion FC 0.

Our call

We expect Nacional to score about 1.3 goals and Albion FC about 1.1. That points to Nacional to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NacionalAlbion
Games played2020
Wins125
Draws34
Losses511
Goals scored2621
Goals conceded2028
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.01.4
Home record8W 1D 3L2W 3D 5L
Away record4W 2D 2L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets40%15%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.36
Over 3.5 goals22%4.62
Both teams to score49%2.05
Nacional or Draw70%1.43
Albion FC or Draw59%1.69
Nacional to win and Over 2.522%4.59
Albion FC to win and Over 2.515%6.53
Nacional clean sheet34%2.93
Albion FC clean sheet27%3.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-011.3%
0-010.1%
0-19.2%
2-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nacional vs Albion FC?

Our prediction for Nacional vs Albion FC is Nacional to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Nacional vs Albion FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Nacional to score 1.3 goals and Albion FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Nacional vs Albion FC?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Nacional last 20 games and 12 of Albion FC last 20.

How are Nacional playing?

Nacional have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Albion FC playing?

Albion FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Nacional and Albion FC last met?

It ended Nacional 1, Albion FC 0. In the last 2 meetings Nacional won 1 and Albion FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Nacional vs Albion FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nacional against Albion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.