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Predictions › Japan › Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
J1 LeagueSat 7 Nov, 05:00 Japan time

Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga prediction

Toyota Stadium (Japan)

Nagoya GrampusHome
1.56 : 1.05
expected goals
Kyoto SangaAway
48%Nagoya
27%Draw
25%Kyoto Sanga
Eagle safe pickNagoya Grampus or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga is Nagoya Grampus to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Nagoya Grampus or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
Nagoya Grampus to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Nagoya Grampus 1.6, Kyoto Sanga 1.1
Best bet
Nagoya Grampus or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nagoya Grampus to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nagoya Grampus 48%, the draw 27% and Kyoto Sanga 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nagoya Grampus took 8 points from their last 5 games and Kyoto Sanga took 5 from 5. Nagoya Grampus come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nagoya Grampus won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Kyoto Sanga won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nagoya Grampus score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Nagoya Grampus games and 13 of Kyoto Sanga games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 1 and Kyoto Sanga won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Nagoya Grampus 3, Kyoto Sanga 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nagoya Grampus or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nagoyarecent form+1%
Nagoya form D D W W LKyoto Sanga form D D D L WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga: Nagoya Grampus are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nagoya Grampus host Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League on Sat 7 Nov, 05:00 at Toyota Stadium (Japan). Our prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga is Nagoya Grampus to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Nagoya Grampus or Draw at 1.32.

Nagoya Grampus form

Nagoya Grampus have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Kyoto Sanga form

Kyoto Sanga have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Nagoya Grampus won 1, Kyoto Sanga won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Nagoya Grampus 3, Kyoto Sanga 0.

Our call

We expect Nagoya Grampus to score about 1.6 goals and Kyoto Sanga about 1.1. That points to Nagoya Grampus to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Nagoya Grampus or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Nagoya Grampus to win and Over 2.5 at 3.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NagoyaKyoto Sanga
Games played2020
Wins74
Draws45
Losses911
Goals scored2821
Goals conceded3540
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.82.0
Home record4W 4D 2L2W 1D 6L
Away record3W 0D 7L2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets5%10%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%2.06
Over 3.5 goals27%3.74
Both teams to score52%1.92
Nagoya Grampus or Draw75%1.33
Kyoto Sanga or Draw52%1.94
Nagoya Grampus to win and Over 2.529%3.47
Kyoto Sanga to win and Over 2.514%7.23
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet35%2.87
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet21%4.77

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-010.7%
2-19.4%
2-08.9%
0-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga is Nagoya Grampus to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Nagoya Grampus or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Nagoya Grampus to score 1.6 goals and Kyoto Sanga 1.1.

Will both teams score in Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Nagoya Grampus last 20 games and 12 of Kyoto Sanga last 20.

How are Nagoya Grampus playing?

Nagoya Grampus have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Kyoto Sanga playing?

Kyoto Sanga have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Nagoya Grampus and Kyoto Sanga last met?

It ended Nagoya Grampus 3, Kyoto Sanga 0. In the last 2 meetings Nagoya Grampus won 1 and Kyoto Sanga won 0.

What is the best bet for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Nagoya Grampus or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nagoya against Kyoto Sanga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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