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Predictions › France › Nantes vs Clermont Foot
Ligue 2Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 France time

Nantes vs Clermont Foot prediction

Stade de la Beaujoire

NantesHome
1.44 : 1.55
expected goals
Clermont FootAway
35%Nantes
26%Draw
40%Clermont Foot
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nantes vs Clermont Foot is Clermont Foot to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Clermont Foot to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Nantes 1.4, Clermont Foot 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Clermont Foot to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nantes 35%, the draw 26% and Clermont Foot 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nantes took 7 points from their last 5 games and Clermont Foot took 4 from 5. Nantes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nantes won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Clermont Foot won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nantes score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.4. Clermont Foot score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Nantes games and 8 of Clermont Foot games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nantesrecent form+1%
  • Clermont Footrecent form-1%
Nantes form D D W L WClermont Foot form D L D D DHome edge in this league 9% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nantes vs Clermont Foot: Clermont Foot shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nantes host Clermont Foot in the Ligue 2 on Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 at Stade de la Beaujoire. Our prediction for Nantes vs Clermont Foot is Clermont Foot to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Nantes form

Nantes have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Clermont Foot form

Clermont Foot have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nantes to score about 1.4 goals and Clermont Foot about 1.6. That points to Clermont Foot to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Clermont Foot to win and Over 2.5 at 3.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NantesClermont Foot
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws510
Losses116
Goals scored2022
Goals conceded2824
Scored per game1.01.1
Conceded per game1.41.2
Home record3W 2D 5L2W 6D 3L
Away record1W 3D 6L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.85
Both teams to score61%1.64
Nantes or Draw60%1.66
Clermont Foot or Draw65%1.53
Nantes to win and Over 2.523%4.35
Clermont Foot to win and Over 2.526%3.78
Nantes clean sheet21%4.72
Clermont Foot clean sheet24%4.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%
0-17.1%
1-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nantes vs Clermont Foot?

Our prediction for Nantes vs Clermont Foot is Clermont Foot to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Nantes vs Clermont Foot?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Nantes to score 1.4 goals and Clermont Foot 1.6.

Will both teams score in Nantes vs Clermont Foot?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Nantes last 20 games and 12 of Clermont Foot last 20.

How are Nantes playing?

Nantes have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Clermont Foot playing?

Clermont Foot have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nantes vs Clermont Foot?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nantes against Clermont Foot. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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