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Predictions › France › Nantes vs Dunkerque
Ligue 2Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 France time

Nantes vs Dunkerque prediction

Stade de la Beaujoire

NantesHome
1.57 : 1.74
expected goals
DunkerqueAway
34%Nantes
24%Draw
41%Dunkerque
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nantes vs Dunkerque is Dunkerque to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Dunkerque to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Nantes 1.6, Dunkerque 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Dunkerque to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nantes 34%, the draw 24% and Dunkerque 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nantes took 7 points from their last 5 games and Dunkerque took 4 from 5. Nantes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nantes won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Dunkerque won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nantes score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Dunkerque score 1.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Nantes games and 9 of Dunkerque games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dunkerquerecent form-3%
Nantes form W L W D LDunkerque form L W D L LHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nantes vs Dunkerque: Dunkerque shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nantes host Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Stade de la Beaujoire. Our prediction for Nantes vs Dunkerque is Dunkerque to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Nantes form

Nantes have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Dunkerque form

Dunkerque have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nantes to score about 1.6 goals and Dunkerque about 1.7. That points to Dunkerque to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Dunkerque to win and Over 2.5 at 3.35.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NantesDunkerque
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws46
Losses1210
Goals scored1928
Goals conceded2934
Scored per game0.91.4
Conceded per game1.41.7
Home record3W 1D 5L2W 5D 3L
Away record1W 3D 7L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets25%5%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%2.38
Both teams to score66%1.52
Nantes or Draw59%1.71
Dunkerque or Draw66%1.52
Nantes to win and Over 2.525%4.05
Dunkerque to win and Over 2.530%3.32
Nantes clean sheet18%5.67
Dunkerque clean sheet21%4.79

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
1-28.7%
2-17.8%
2-26.8%
0-15.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nantes vs Dunkerque?

Our prediction for Nantes vs Dunkerque is Dunkerque to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Nantes vs Dunkerque?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Nantes to score 1.6 goals and Dunkerque 1.7.

Will both teams score in Nantes vs Dunkerque?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Nantes last 20 games and 13 of Dunkerque last 20.

How are Nantes playing?

Nantes have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Dunkerque playing?

Dunkerque have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nantes vs Dunkerque?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nantes against Dunkerque. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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