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Predictions › France › Nantes vs Grenoble
Ligue 2Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 France time

Nantes vs Grenoble prediction

Stade de la Beaujoire

NantesHome
1.78 : 0.87
expected goals
GrenobleAway
58%Nantes
24%Draw
17%Grenoble
Eagle safe pickNantes or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nantes vs Grenoble is Nantes to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Nantes or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
Nantes to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Nantes 1.8, Grenoble 0.9
Best bet
Nantes or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nantes or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nantes to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nantes 58%, the draw 24% and Grenoble 17%. The bookmakers agree and make Nantes the favourite at 1.46.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nantes took 5 points from their last 5 games and Grenoble took 3 from 5. Nantes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nantes won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Grenoble won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nantes score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Grenoble score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Nantes games and 10 of Grenoble games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Nantes or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nantesrecent form-1%
  • Grenoblerecent form-6%
Nantes form W D L L DGrenoble form D L L L LHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nantes vs Grenoble: Nantes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nantes host Grenoble in the Ligue 2 on Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 at Stade de la Beaujoire. Our prediction for Nantes vs Grenoble is Nantes to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Nantes or Draw at 1.22.

Nantes form

Nantes have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Grenoble form

Grenoble have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nantes to score about 1.8 goals and Grenoble about 0.9. That points to Nantes to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Nantes or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Nantes to win and Over 2.5 at 2.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NantesGrenoble
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws66
Losses109
Goals scored2122
Goals conceded2831
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record2W 3D 4L2W 5D 3L
Away record2W 3D 6L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored45%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Nantes to win53%1.901.46-23.5%
A Draw24%4.204.20-0.1%
Grenoble to win17%6.036.50+7.8%
Over 2.5 goals47%2.151.80-16.1%
Under 2.5 goals46%2.151.83-14.9%
Nantes -1.538%2.652.20-17.0%
Grenoble +1.556%1.781.53-14.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.65
Both teams to score49%2.04
Nantes or Draw83%1.21
Grenoble or Draw42%2.39
Nantes to win and Over 2.535%2.86
Grenoble to win and Over 2.59%10.78
Nantes clean sheet42%2.39
Grenoble clean sheet17%5.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-011.9%
1-111.6%
2-011.2%
2-19.7%
0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nantes vs Grenoble?

Our prediction for Nantes vs Grenoble is Nantes to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Nantes or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Nantes vs Grenoble?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Nantes to score 1.8 goals and Grenoble 0.9.

Will both teams score in Nantes vs Grenoble?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Nantes last 20 games and 11 of Grenoble last 20.

How are Nantes playing?

Nantes have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Grenoble playing?

Grenoble have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nantes vs Grenoble?

Nantes or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nantes against Grenoble. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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