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Predictions › France › Nantes vs Stade de Reims
Ligue 2Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 France time

Nantes vs Stade de Reims prediction

Stade de la Beaujoire

NantesHome
1.36 : 1.28
expected goals
Stade de ReimsAway
38%Nantes
28%Draw
34%Reims
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nantes vs Stade de Reims is Nantes to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Nantes to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Nantes 1.4, Stade de Reims 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stade de Reims to win
33% chancePrice 3.051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nantes 38%, the draw 28% and Stade de Reims 34%. The bookmakers agree and make Nantes the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nantes took 7 points from their last 5 games and Stade de Reims took 11 from 5. Stade de Reims come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nantes won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Stade de Reims won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nantes score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Stade de Reims score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Nantes games and 9 of Stade de Reims games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Reimsrecent form+4%
Nantes form W L W D LReims form D W D W WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nantes vs Stade de Reims: Nantes shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nantes host Stade de Reims in the Ligue 2 on Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 at Stade de la Beaujoire. Our prediction for Nantes vs Stade de Reims is Nantes to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Nantes form

Nantes have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Stade de Reims form

Stade de Reims have 6 wins, 13 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nantes to score about 1.4 goals and Stade de Reims about 1.3. That points to Nantes to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Stade de Reims to win at 3.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NantesReims
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws413
Losses121
Goals scored1931
Goals conceded2921
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record3W 1D 5L3W 7D 1L
Away record1W 3D 7L3W 6D 0L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Nantes to win36%2.802.20-21.5%
A Draw27%3.733.30-11.5%
Stade de Reims to win33%3.063.05-0.4%
Over 2.5 goals47%2.141.83-14.5%
Under 2.5 goals47%2.121.83-13.6%
Nantes -0.539%2.592.10-18.8%
Stade de Reims +0.555%1.821.59-12.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.67
Both teams to score54%1.84
Nantes or Draw66%1.52
Stade de Reims or Draw62%1.61
Nantes to win and Over 2.522%4.45
Stade de Reims to win and Over 2.520%4.97
Nantes clean sheet28%3.60
Stade de Reims clean sheet26%3.89

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-09.0%
2-18.4%
0-18.4%
1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nantes vs Stade de Reims?

Our prediction for Nantes vs Stade de Reims is Nantes to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Nantes vs Stade de Reims?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Nantes to score 1.4 goals and Stade de Reims 1.3.

Will both teams score in Nantes vs Stade de Reims?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Nantes last 20 games and 13 of Stade de Reims last 20.

How are Nantes playing?

Nantes have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Stade de Reims playing?

Stade de Reims have 6 wins, 13 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nantes vs Stade de Reims?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nantes against Reims. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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