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Predictions › Champions League › Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt
Champions LeagueTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

NapoliHome
1.61 : 1.39
expected goals
Bodo/GlimtAway
42%Napoli
25%Draw
32%Bodo/Glimt
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt is Napoli to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Napoli to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Napoli 1.6, Bodo/Glimt 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Napoli to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.731 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Napoli 42%, the draw 25% and Bodo/Glimt 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Napoli took 4 points from their last 5 games and Bodo/Glimt took 9 from 5. Bodo/Glimt come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Napoli won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Bodo/Glimt won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Napoli score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.0. Bodo/Glimt score 2.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Napoli games and 16 of Bodo/Glimt games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Napolirecent form-3%
  • Bodo/Glimtrest between games-5%
Napoli form D W L L LBodo/Glimt form D L W L WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt: Napoli shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Napoli host Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League on Tue 20 Oct, 19:00 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Our prediction for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt is Napoli to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Napoli form

Napoli have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Bodo/Glimt form

Bodo/Glimt have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Napoli to score about 1.6 goals and Bodo/Glimt about 1.4. That points to Napoli to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Napoli to win and Over 2.5 at 3.73.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NapoliBodo/Glimt
Games played2020
Wins1016
Draws41
Losses63
Goals scored2952
Goals conceded2019
Scored per game1.42.6
Conceded per game1.00.9
Home record6W 1D 4L10W 0D 1L
Away record4W 3D 2L6W 1D 2L
Clean sheets40%45%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.84
Both teams to score61%1.65
Napoli or Draw68%1.48
Bodo/Glimt or Draw58%1.73
Napoli to win and Over 2.528%3.54
Bodo/Glimt to win and Over 2.521%4.69
Napoli clean sheet25%4.01
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet20%5.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
2-19.0%
1-27.7%
1-07.4%
2-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
LaLiga

Real Madrid Eye Scott McTominay as Napoli Contract Talks Stall

Real Madrid are monitoring Scott McTominay while Chelsea eye Frenkie de Jong ahead of the January transfer window.

9 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Our prediction for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt is Napoli to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Napoli to score 1.6 goals and Bodo/Glimt 1.4.

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Napoli last 20 games and 9 of Bodo/Glimt last 20.

How are Napoli playing?

Napoli have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Bodo/Glimt playing?

Bodo/Glimt have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Napoli against Bodo/Glimt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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