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Predictions › United States › Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLTue 6 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Nashville PredatorsAway
3.3 : 3.4
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
52%Predators
48%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickPredators +2
-397

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Nashville Predators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Nashville Predators 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.4. Our best bet is Predators +2 at -397.

Prediction
Nashville Predators to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Nashville Predators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.7 goals
Best bet
Predators +2 at -397

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Predators +2
80% chanceFair price -3972 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 48% and Nashville Predators 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 5 and Nashville Predators won 1 of their last 5. Toronto Maple Leafs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Nashville Predators won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 2.9 goals a game and let in 3.9. Nashville Predators score 3.0 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Nashville Predators won 1. The last one ended Nashville Predators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Predators +2 has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Predatorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Nashville Predators shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Nashville Predators in the NHL on Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Nashville Predators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Nashville Predators 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.4. Our best bet is Predators +2 at -397.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 77 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Nashville Predators form

Nashville Predators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 1, Nashville Predators won 1. Last time out it finished Nashville Predators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.

Our call

We expect Nashville Predators to score about 3.3 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 3.4. That points to Nashville Predators to win. Our safest bet is Predators +2 at -397.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsPredators
Games played2020
Wins610
Losses1410
Goals scored5861
Goals conceded7760
Scored per game2.93.0
Conceded per game3.93.0
Home record2W 6L5W 5L
Away record4W 8L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -1.527%+264
Maple Leafs -0.543%+134
Maple Leafs +0.559%-145
Total goalsOverUnder
5.570%30%
6.554%46%
7.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Nashville Predators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Nashville Predators 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.4. Our best bet is Predators +2 at -397.

What is the projected score for Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Nashville Predators 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.4, about 6.7 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 77 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Nashville Predators playing?

Nashville Predators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Nashville Predators last met?

It ended Nashville Predators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3. In the last 2 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Nashville Predators won 1.

What is the best bet for Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Predators +2 at -397, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Predators. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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