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Predictions › United States › Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
MLSWed 28 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction

GEODIS Park

Nashville SCHome
2.70 : 1.45
expected goals
Philadelphia UnionAway
64%Nashville
18%Draw
18%Philadelphia
Eagle safe pickNashville SC or Draw
-429

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union is Nashville SC to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Nashville SC or Draw at -429.

Prediction
Nashville SC to win
Chance
64%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Nashville SC 2.7, Philadelphia Union 1.4
Best bet
Nashville SC or Draw at -429
Both teams to score
72%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nashville SC or Draw
81% chanceFair price -4292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nashville SC to win and both score
43% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nashville SC 64%, the draw 18% and Philadelphia Union 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nashville SC took 13 points from their last 5 games and Philadelphia Union took 13 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nashville SC won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Philadelphia Union won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nashville SC score 2.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Philadelphia Union score 2.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Nashville SC games and 15 of Philadelphia Union games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Nashville SC won 0 and Philadelphia Union won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Philadelphia Union 0, Nashville SC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nashville SC or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nashvillerecent form+6%
  • Philadelphiarecent form+6%
  • Nashvillerest between games-5%
  • Philadelphiarest between games-5%
Nashville form D W W W WPhiladelphia form D W W W WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union: Nashville SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nashville SC host Philadelphia Union in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 20:30 at GEODIS Park. Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union is Nashville SC to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Nashville SC or Draw at -429.

Nashville SC form

Nashville SC have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Philadelphia Union form

Philadelphia Union have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Nashville SC won 0, Philadelphia Union won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Union 0, Nashville SC 0.

Our call

We expect Nashville SC to score about 2.7 goals and Philadelphia Union about 1.4. That points to Nashville SC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Nashville SC or Draw at -429. Our bold bet is Nashville SC to win and both score at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NashvillePhiladelphia
Games played2020
Wins1312
Draws55
Losses23
Goals scored4352
Goals conceded1731
Scored per game2.12.6
Conceded per game0.81.6
Home record10W 1D 0L7W 4D 0L
Away record3W 4D 2L5W 1D 3L
Clean sheets45%25%
Both teams scored50%75%
Over 2.5 goals65%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals92%-1186
Over 2.5 goals78%-360
Over 3.5 goals59%-147
Both teams to score72%-253
Nashville SC or Draw82%-444
Philadelphia Union or Draw36%+176
Nashville SC to win and Over 2.554%-118
Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.515%+575
Nashville SC clean sheet24%+325
Philadelphia Union clean sheet7%+1388

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.3%
3-17.5%
1-16.6%
2-26.0%
2-05.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Cavan Sullivan Sets MLS Teen Record But Calls His Performance Terrible

Cavan Sullivan set an MLS record for teenage goal contributions, but the midfielder was unhappy with his play in Philadelphia's 3-1 win.

15 Oct 2026
MLS

Sullivan Sparks Philadelphia Union to Dominant 5-0 Win

Cavan Sullivan scored twice and set up another goal as the Philadelphia Union rolled to a 5-0 victory over San Diego.

14 Sept 2026
MLS

Inter Miami Settle for Draw as Nashville Grabs Late Stoppage Point

Nashville SC scored in stoppage time to earn a 2-2 draw against Inter Miami, keeping a nine-point lead at the top of the Eastern Conference.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union is Nashville SC to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Nashville SC or Draw at -429.

What is the score prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 1-1. We expect Nashville SC to score 2.7 goals and Philadelphia Union 1.4.

Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Both teams to score has a 72% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Nashville SC last 20 games and 15 of Philadelphia Union last 20.

How are Nashville SC playing?

Nashville SC have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Union playing?

Philadelphia Union have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union last met?

It ended Philadelphia Union 0, Nashville SC 0. In the last 1 meeting Nashville SC won 0 and Philadelphia Union won 0.

What is the best bet for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Nashville SC or Draw at -429, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nashville against Philadelphia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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