Predictions › United States › Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York
MLSSun 1 Nov, 16:30 United States time

Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York prediction

GEODIS Park

Nashville SCHome
2.54 : 0.76
expected goals
Red Bull New YorkAway
76%Nashville
16%Draw
8%Red Bull NY
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-529

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York is Nashville SC to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -529.

Prediction
Nashville SC to win
Chance
76%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Nashville SC 2.5, Red Bull New York 0.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -529
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price -5292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nashville SC to win and both score
32% chanceFair price +2151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nashville SC 76%, the draw 16% and Red Bull New York 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nashville SC took 13 points from their last 5 games and Red Bull New York took 6 from 5. Nashville SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nashville SC won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Red Bull New York won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nashville SC score 2.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Red Bull New York score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Nashville SC games and 10 of Red Bull New York games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Nashville SC won 1 and Red Bull New York won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Red Bull New York 0, Nashville SC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nashvillerecent form+6%
Nashville form D W W W WRed Bull NY form D L W L WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York: Nashville SC are favourites

The big picture

Nashville SC host Red Bull New York in the MLS on Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 at GEODIS Park. Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York is Nashville SC to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -529.

Nashville SC form

Nashville SC have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Red Bull New York form

Red Bull New York have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Nashville SC won 1, Red Bull New York won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Red Bull New York 0, Nashville SC 1.

Our call

We expect Nashville SC to score about 2.5 goals and Red Bull New York about 0.8. That points to Nashville SC to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -529. Our bold bet is Nashville SC to win and both score at +215.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NashvilleRed Bull NY
Games played2020
Wins137
Draws53
Losses210
Goals scored4323
Goals conceded1731
Scored per game2.11.1
Conceded per game0.81.6
Home record10W 1D 0L3W 2D 6L
Away record3W 4D 2L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%-548
Over 2.5 goals64%-178
Over 3.5 goals42%+138
Both teams to score49%+103
Nashville SC or Draw92%-1078
Red Bull New York or Draw24%+310
Nashville SC to win and Over 2.555%-121
Red Bull New York to win and Over 2.55%+1872
Nashville SC clean sheet47%+113
Red Bull New York clean sheet8%+1173

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.9%
3-010.1%
2-19.0%
1-08.9%
3-17.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York?

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York is Nashville SC to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -529.

What is the score prediction for Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Nashville SC to score 2.5 goals and Red Bull New York 0.8.

Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Nashville SC last 20 games and 11 of Red Bull New York last 20.

How are Nashville SC playing?

Nashville SC have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Red Bull New York playing?

Red Bull New York have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Nashville SC and Red Bull New York last met?

It ended Red Bull New York 0, Nashville SC 1. In the last 1 meeting Nashville SC won 1 and Red Bull New York won 0.

What is the best bet for Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York?

Over 1.5 goals at -529, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nashville against Red Bull NY. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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