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Predictions › United States › Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City
MLSWed 14 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction

GEODIS Park

Nashville SCHome
3.48 : 0.83
expected goals
Sporting Kansas CityAway
86%Nashville
10%Draw
5%Kansas City
Eagle safe pickNashville SC to win
-490

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City is Nashville SC to win, with a 86% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Nashville SC to win at -490.

Prediction
Nashville SC to win
Chance
86%
Most likely score
3-0
Expected goals
Nashville SC 3.5, Sporting Kansas City 0.8
Best bet
Nashville SC to win at -490
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nashville SC to win
83% chanceFair price -4902 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nashville SC to win and both score
41% chanceFair price +1451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nashville SC 86%, the draw 10% and Sporting Kansas City 5%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nashville SC took 8 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Kansas City took 6 from 5. Nashville SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nashville SC won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Sporting Kansas City won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nashville SC score 1.7 goals a game and let in 0.8. Sporting Kansas City score 1.3 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Nashville SC games and 15 of Sporting Kansas City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Nashville SC to win has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nashvillerecent form+1%
  • Kansas Cityrecent form-1%
Nashville form W W D L DKansas City form L W L W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City: Nashville SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nashville SC host Sporting Kansas City in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 20:30 at GEODIS Park. Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City is Nashville SC to win, with a 86% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Nashville SC to win at -490.

Nashville SC form

Nashville SC have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Sporting Kansas City form

Sporting Kansas City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 48 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nashville SC to score about 3.5 goals and Sporting Kansas City about 0.8. That points to Nashville SC to win, with 3-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Nashville SC to win at -490. Our bold bet is Nashville SC to win and both score at +145.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NashvilleKansas City
Games played2020
Wins115
Draws52
Losses413
Goals scored3425
Goals conceded1748
Scored per game1.71.3
Conceded per game0.82.4
Home record9W 1D 1L3W 2D 4L
Away record2W 4D 3L2W 0D 9L
Clean sheets45%5%
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%-1349
Over 2.5 goals80%-410
Over 3.5 goals62%-166
Both teams to score55%-121
Nashville SC or Draw95%-1959
Sporting Kansas City or Draw14%+595
Nashville SC to win and Over 2.573%-270
Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.54%+2741
Nashville SC clean sheet44%+129
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet3%+3156

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-09.5%
4-08.2%
2-08.2%
3-17.8%
4-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Inter Miami Settle for Draw as Nashville Grabs Late Stoppage Point

Nashville SC scored in stoppage time to earn a 2-2 draw against Inter Miami, keeping a nine-point lead at the top of the Eastern Conference.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City is Nashville SC to win, with a 86% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Nashville SC to win at -490.

What is the score prediction for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

3-0 is the most likely score, followed by 4-0 and 2-0. We expect Nashville SC to score 3.5 goals and Sporting Kansas City 0.8.

Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Nashville SC last 20 games and 12 of Sporting Kansas City last 20.

How are Nashville SC playing?

Nashville SC have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Sporting Kansas City playing?

Sporting Kansas City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 48 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Nashville SC to win at -490, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nashville against Kansas City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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