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Predictions › United States › Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers
College FootballFri 25 Sept, 19:00 United States time

Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers prediction

Protective Stadium

Navy MidshipmenAway
29.4 : 28.1
projected points
UAB BlazersHome
56%Navy
44%UAB
Eagle safe pickUAB +11.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers is Navy Midshipmen to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Navy Midshipmen 29.4 and UAB Blazers 28.1. Our best bet is UAB +11.5 at -308.

Prediction
Navy Midshipmen to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Navy Midshipmen 29, UAB Blazers 28
Projected total
57.6 points
Best bet
UAB +11.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UAB +11.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

UAB to win
44% chanceFair price +1261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UAB Blazers 44% and Navy Midshipmen 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UAB Blazers won 2 of their last 5 and Navy Midshipmen won 4 of their last 5. Navy Midshipmen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UAB Blazers won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Navy Midshipmen won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UAB Blazers score 24.2 points a game and let in 36.8. Navy Midshipmen score 30.1 and let in 26.7. Their recent games average 60.9 and 56.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    UAB +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers: Navy Midshipmen shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UAB Blazers host Navy Midshipmen in the College Football on Fri 25 Sept, 19:00 at Protective Stadium. Our prediction for Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers is Navy Midshipmen to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Navy Midshipmen 29.4 and UAB Blazers 28.1. Our best bet is UAB +11.5 at -308.

UAB Blazers form

UAB Blazers have 4 wins and 8 losses in their last 12 games, with 290 points scored and 441 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Navy Midshipmen form

Navy Midshipmen have 10 wins and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 391 points scored and 347 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Navy Midshipmen to score about 29.4 points and UAB Blazers about 28.1. That points to Navy Midshipmen to win. Our safest bet is UAB +11.5 at -308. Our bold bet is UAB to win at +126.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

UABNavy
Games played1213
Wins410
Losses83
Points scored290391
Points conceded441347
Scored per game24.230.1
Conceded per game36.826.7
Home record3W 3L6W 0L
Away record1W 5L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UAB spreadCoversFair
UAB -5.533%+199
UAB -1.543%+133
UAB +1.550%-102
UAB +4.558%-137
UAB +8.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
50.567%33%
54.558%42%
57.550%50%
60.543%57%
64.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UAB +3.5 wins if UAB win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers?

Our prediction for Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers is Navy Midshipmen to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Navy Midshipmen 29.4 and UAB Blazers 28.1. Our best bet is UAB +11.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers?

We project Navy Midshipmen 29.4 and UAB Blazers 28.1, about 57.6 points in total.

How are UAB Blazers playing?

UAB Blazers have 4 wins and 8 losses in their last 12 games, with 290 points scored and 441 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Navy Midshipmen playing?

Navy Midshipmen have 10 wins and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 391 points scored and 347 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers?

UAB +11.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UAB against Navy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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