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Predictions › United States › Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction

Alamodome

Navy MidshipmenAway
24.7 : 36.9
projected points
UTSA RoadrunnersHome
24%Navy
76%UTSA
Eagle safe pickUTSA to win
-325

Quick answer

Our prediction for Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 76% chance. We project Navy Midshipmen 24.7 and UTSA Roadrunners 36.9. Our best bet is UTSA to win at -325.

Prediction
UTSA Roadrunners to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Navy Midshipmen 25, UTSA Roadrunners 37
Projected total
61.6 points
Best bet
UTSA to win at -325

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UTSA to win
76% chanceFair price -3252 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UTSA Roadrunners 76% and Navy Midshipmen 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UTSA Roadrunners won 4 of their last 5 and Navy Midshipmen won 2 of their last 5. UTSA Roadrunners come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UTSA Roadrunners won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Navy Midshipmen won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UTSA Roadrunners score 34.9 points a game and let in 26.3. Navy Midshipmen score 28.0 and let in 25.7. Their recent games average 61.3 and 53.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    UTSA to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners: UTSA Roadrunners are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UTSA Roadrunners host Navy Midshipmen in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 at Alamodome. Our prediction for Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 76% chance. We project Navy Midshipmen 24.7 and UTSA Roadrunners 36.9. Our best bet is UTSA to win at -325.

UTSA Roadrunners form

UTSA Roadrunners have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 559 points scored and 421 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Navy Midshipmen form

Navy Midshipmen have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 420 points scored and 385 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Navy Midshipmen to score about 24.7 points and UTSA Roadrunners about 36.9. That points to UTSA Roadrunners to win. Our safest bet is UTSA to win at -325.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

UTSANavy
Games played1615
Wins1110
Losses55
Points scored559420
Points conceded421385
Scored per game34.928.0
Conceded per game26.325.7
Home record7W 1L6W 0L
Away record4W 4L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UTSA spreadCoversFair
UTSA -19.532%+209
UTSA -15.542%+140
UTSA -12.549%+103
UTSA -9.557%-130
UTSA -5.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
54.567%33%
58.558%42%
61.550%50%
64.543%57%
68.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UTSA +3.5 wins if UTSA win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners?

Our prediction for Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 76% chance. We project Navy Midshipmen 24.7 and UTSA Roadrunners 36.9. Our best bet is UTSA to win at -325.

What is the projected score for Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners?

We project Navy Midshipmen 24.7 and UTSA Roadrunners 36.9, about 61.6 points in total.

How are UTSA Roadrunners playing?

UTSA Roadrunners have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 559 points scored and 421 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Navy Midshipmen playing?

Navy Midshipmen have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 420 points scored and 385 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners?

UTSA to win at -325, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UTSA against Navy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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