Predictions › United States › NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 15:30 United States time

NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles prediction

Doak Campbell Stadium

NC State WolfpackAway
19.7 : 33.8
projected points
Florida State SeminolesHome
19%NC State
81%Florida St
Eagle safe pickFlorida St to win
-433

Quick answer

Our prediction for NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles is Florida State Seminoles to win, with a 81% chance. We project NC State Wolfpack 19.7 and Florida State Seminoles 33.8. Our best bet is Florida St to win at -433.

Prediction
Florida State Seminoles to win
Chance
81%
Projected score
NC State Wolfpack 20, Florida State Seminoles 34
Projected total
53.5 points
Best bet
Florida St to win at -433

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Florida St to win
81% chanceFair price -4332 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Florida State Seminoles 81% and NC State Wolfpack 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Florida State Seminoles won 2 of their last 5 and NC State Wolfpack won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Florida State Seminoles won 6 of their last 10 games at home. NC State Wolfpack won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Florida State Seminoles score 29.7 points a game and let in 26.3. NC State Wolfpack score 29.7 and let in 27.6. Their recent games average 55.9 and 57.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Florida State Seminoles won 0 and NC State Wolfpack won 1. The last one ended NC State Wolfpack 21, Florida State Seminoles 11.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Florida St to win has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles: Florida State Seminoles are favourites

The big picture

Florida State Seminoles host NC State Wolfpack in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 15:30 at Doak Campbell Stadium. Our prediction for NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles is Florida State Seminoles to win, with a 81% chance. We project NC State Wolfpack 19.7 and Florida State Seminoles 33.8. Our best bet is Florida St to win at -433.

Florida State Seminoles form

Florida State Seminoles have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 564 points scored and 499 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

NC State Wolfpack form

NC State Wolfpack have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 594 points scored and 553 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Florida State Seminoles won 0, NC State Wolfpack won 1. Last time out it finished NC State Wolfpack 21, Florida State Seminoles 11.

Our call

We expect NC State Wolfpack to score about 19.7 points and Florida State Seminoles about 33.8. That points to Florida State Seminoles to win. Our safest bet is Florida St to win at -433.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Florida StNC State
Games played1920
Wins710
Losses1210
Points scored564594
Points conceded499553
Scored per game29.729.7
Conceded per game26.327.6
Home record6W 4L9W 3L
Away record1W 8L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Florida St spreadCoversFair
Florida St -21.532%+211
Florida St -17.542%+141
Florida St -14.549%+104
Florida St -11.556%-129
Florida St -7.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
46.567%33%
50.557%43%
53.550%50%
56.543%57%
60.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Florida St +3.5 wins if Florida St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles?

Our prediction for NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles is Florida State Seminoles to win, with a 81% chance. We project NC State Wolfpack 19.7 and Florida State Seminoles 33.8. Our best bet is Florida St to win at -433.

What is the projected score for NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles?

We project NC State Wolfpack 19.7 and Florida State Seminoles 33.8, about 53.5 points in total.

How are Florida State Seminoles playing?

Florida State Seminoles have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 564 points scored and 499 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are NC State Wolfpack playing?

NC State Wolfpack have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 594 points scored and 553 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Florida State Seminoles and NC State Wolfpack last met?

It ended NC State Wolfpack 21, Florida State Seminoles 11. In the last 1 meeting Florida State Seminoles won 0 and NC State Wolfpack won 1.

What is the best bet for NC State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles?

Florida St to win at -433, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Florida St against NC State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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