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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Neom SC vs Abha
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 24 Oct, 14:00 Saudi Arabia time

Neom SC vs Abha prediction

King Khalid Sport City Stadium

Neom SCHome
1.99 : 0.96
expected goals
AbhaAway
61%Neom SC
22%Draw
17%Abha
Eagle safe pickNeom SC or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Neom SC vs Abha is Neom SC to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Neom SC or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
Neom SC to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Neom SC 2.0, Abha 1.0
Best bet
Neom SC or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Neom SC or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Neom SC to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 2.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Neom SC 61%, the draw 22% and Abha 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Neom SC took 10 points from their last 5 games and Abha took 2 from 5. Neom SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Neom SC won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Abha won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Neom SC score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.3. Abha score 0.7 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Neom SC games and 4 of Abha games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Neom SC or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Neom SCrecent form+3%
  • Abharecent form-4%
  • Abharest between games-3%
Neom SC form D W W W LAbha form D L L L DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Neom SC vs Abha: Neom SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Neom SC host Abha in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 at King Khalid Sport City Stadium. Our prediction for Neom SC vs Abha is Neom SC to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Neom SC or Draw at 1.23.

Neom SC form

Neom SC have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Abha form

Abha have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Neom SC to score about 2.0 goals and Abha about 1.0. That points to Neom SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Neom SC or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Neom SC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Neom SCAbha
Games played207
Wins80
Draws62
Losses65
Goals scored305
Goals conceded2513
Scored per game1.50.7
Conceded per game1.31.9
Home record5W 3D 2L0W 1D 2L
Away record3W 3D 4L0W 1D 3L
Clean sheets20%14%
Both teams scored60%57%
Over 2.5 goals45%57%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%2.93
Both teams to score54%1.86
Neom SC or Draw83%1.20
Abha or Draw39%2.54
Neom SC to win and Over 2.541%2.47
Abha to win and Over 2.510%9.89
Neom SC clean sheet38%2.61
Abha clean sheet14%7.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-010.4%
2-19.9%
1-09.8%
3-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Neom SC vs Abha?

Our prediction for Neom SC vs Abha is Neom SC to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Neom SC or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Neom SC vs Abha?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 2-1. We expect Neom SC to score 2.0 goals and Abha 1.0.

Will both teams score in Neom SC vs Abha?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Neom SC last 20 games and 4 of Abha last 7.

How are Neom SC playing?

Neom SC have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Abha playing?

Abha have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Neom SC vs Abha?

Neom SC or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Neom SC against Abha. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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