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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 17 Oct, 15:40 Saudi Arabia time

Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq prediction

King Khalid Sport City Stadium

Neom SCHome
1.54 : 1.37
expected goals
Al EttifaqAway
41%Neom SC
26%Draw
33%Al Ettifaq
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq is Neom SC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Neom SC to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Neom SC 1.5, Al Ettifaq 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Neom SC to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Neom SC 41%, the draw 26% and Al Ettifaq 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Neom SC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Al Ettifaq took 5 from 5. Neom SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Neom SC won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Al Ettifaq won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Neom SC score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.2. Al Ettifaq score 1.6 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Neom SC games and 12 of Al Ettifaq games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Neom SC won 0 and Al Ettifaq won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Neom SC 1, Al Ettifaq 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Neom SCrecent form+1%
  • Al Ettifaqrecent form-1%
  • Al Ettifaqrest between games-3%
Neom SC form W W W L LAl Ettifaq form D D W L LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq: Neom SC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Neom SC host Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 17 Oct, 15:40 at King Khalid Sport City Stadium. Our prediction for Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq is Neom SC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Neom SC form

Neom SC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Al Ettifaq form

Al Ettifaq have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Neom SC won 0, Al Ettifaq won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Neom SC 1, Al Ettifaq 1.

Our call

We expect Neom SC to score about 1.5 goals and Al Ettifaq about 1.4. That points to Neom SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Neom SC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Neom SCAl Ettifaq
Games played2020
Wins97
Draws55
Losses68
Goals scored3032
Goals conceded2434
Scored per game1.51.6
Conceded per game1.21.7
Home record5W 3D 2L3W 3D 4L
Away record4W 2D 4L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.00
Both teams to score59%1.69
Neom SC or Draw67%1.50
Al Ettifaq or Draw59%1.69
Neom SC to win and Over 2.527%3.75
Al Ettifaq to win and Over 2.521%4.69
Neom SC clean sheet25%3.94
Al Ettifaq clean sheet21%4.67

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-18.9%
1-27.9%
1-07.7%
0-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq?

Our prediction for Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq is Neom SC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Neom SC to score 1.5 goals and Al Ettifaq 1.4.

Will both teams score in Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Neom SC last 20 games and 11 of Al Ettifaq last 20.

How are Neom SC playing?

Neom SC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Al Ettifaq playing?

Al Ettifaq have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Neom SC and Al Ettifaq last met?

It ended Neom SC 1, Al Ettifaq 1. In the last 2 meetings Neom SC won 0 and Al Ettifaq won 0.

What is the best bet for Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Neom SC against Al Ettifaq. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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