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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Neom SC vs Al Kholood
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 20 Nov, 20:00 Saudi Arabia time

Neom SC vs Al Kholood prediction

Neom SCHome
1.95 : 1.19
expected goals
Al KholoodAway
54%Neom SC
23%Draw
22%Al Kholood
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Neom SC vs Al Kholood is Neom SC to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Neom SC to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Neom SC 1.9, Al Kholood 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Neom SC to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Neom SC 54%, the draw 23% and Al Kholood 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Neom SC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Al Kholood took 0 from 5. Neom SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Neom SC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Al Kholood won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Neom SC score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Al Kholood score 1.1 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Neom SC games and 13 of Al Kholood games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Neom SC won 1 and Al Kholood won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Neom SC 1, Al Kholood 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Neom SCrecent form-1%
  • Al Kholoodrecent form-6%
Neom SC form D W L L DAl Kholood form D L L L LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Neom SC vs Al Kholood: Neom SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Neom SC host Al Kholood in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00. Our prediction for Neom SC vs Al Kholood is Neom SC to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Neom SC form

Neom SC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Al Kholood form

Al Kholood have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Neom SC won 1, Al Kholood won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Neom SC 1, Al Kholood 2.

Our call

We expect Neom SC to score about 1.9 goals and Al Kholood about 1.2. That points to Neom SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Neom SC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Neom SCAl Kholood
Games played2020
Wins104
Draws48
Losses68
Goals scored3023
Goals conceded2241
Scored per game1.51.1
Conceded per game1.12.0
Home record6W 2D 2L3W 4D 2L
Away record4W 2D 4L1W 4D 6L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.64
Over 3.5 goals38%2.60
Both teams to score60%1.66
Neom SC or Draw78%1.29
Al Kholood or Draw46%2.20
Neom SC to win and Over 2.538%2.60
Al Kholood to win and Over 2.515%6.75
Neom SC clean sheet30%3.29
Al Kholood clean sheet14%7.04

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.8%
2-08.2%
1-07.8%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Neom SC vs Al Kholood?

Our prediction for Neom SC vs Al Kholood is Neom SC to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Neom SC vs Al Kholood?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Neom SC to score 1.9 goals and Al Kholood 1.2.

Will both teams score in Neom SC vs Al Kholood?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Neom SC last 20 games and 12 of Al Kholood last 20.

How are Neom SC playing?

Neom SC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Al Kholood playing?

Al Kholood have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Neom SC and Al Kholood last met?

It ended Neom SC 1, Al Kholood 2. In the last 2 meetings Neom SC won 1 and Al Kholood won 1.

What is the best bet for Neom SC vs Al Kholood?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Neom SC against Al Kholood. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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