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Predictions › United States › Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison prediction

Fargodome

Nevada Wolf PackAway
13.7 : 33.3
projected points
North Dakota State BisonHome
13%Nevada
87%N Dakota St
Eagle safe pickOver 36.5 points
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 87% chance. We project Nevada Wolf Pack 13.7 and North Dakota State Bison 33.3. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

Prediction
North Dakota State Bison to win
Chance
87%
Projected score
Nevada Wolf Pack 14, North Dakota State Bison 33
Projected total
47.0 points
Best bet
Over 36.5 points at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 36.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives North Dakota State Bison 87% and Nevada Wolf Pack 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    North Dakota State Bison won 5 of their last 5 and Nevada Wolf Pack won 1 of their last 5. North Dakota State Bison come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    North Dakota State Bison won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Nevada Wolf Pack won 1 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    North Dakota State Bison score 37.8 points a game and let in 13.4. Nevada Wolf Pack score 20.6 and let in 26.0. Their recent games average 51.3 and 46.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 36.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison: North Dakota State Bison are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

North Dakota State Bison host Nevada Wolf Pack in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 at Fargodome. Our prediction for Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 87% chance. We project Nevada Wolf Pack 13.7 and North Dakota State Bison 33.3. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

North Dakota State Bison form

North Dakota State Bison have 15 wins and 1 loss in their last 16 games, with 605 points scored and 215 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Nevada Wolf Pack form

Nevada Wolf Pack have 3 wins and 11 losses in their last 14 games, with 289 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nevada Wolf Pack to score about 13.7 points and North Dakota State Bison about 33.3. That points to North Dakota State Bison to win. Our safest bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

N Dakota StNevada
Games played1614
Wins153
Losses111
Points scored605289
Points conceded215364
Scored per game37.820.6
Conceded per game13.426.0
Home record9W 1L2W 6L
Away record6W 0L1W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

N Dakota St spreadCoversFair
N Dakota St -26.533%+199
N Dakota St -22.543%+133
N Dakota St -19.550%-102
N Dakota St -16.558%-137
N Dakota St -12.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
39.568%32%
43.559%41%
46.551%49%
49.544%56%
53.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. N Dakota St +3.5 wins if N Dakota St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison?

Our prediction for Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 87% chance. We project Nevada Wolf Pack 13.7 and North Dakota State Bison 33.3. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

What is the projected score for Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison?

We project Nevada Wolf Pack 13.7 and North Dakota State Bison 33.3, about 47.0 points in total.

How are North Dakota State Bison playing?

North Dakota State Bison have 15 wins and 1 loss in their last 16 games, with 605 points scored and 215 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Nevada Wolf Pack playing?

Nevada Wolf Pack have 3 wins and 11 losses in their last 14 games, with 289 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison?

Over 36.5 points at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in N Dakota St against Nevada. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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