Predictions › United States › Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies prediction

Huskie Stadium

Nevada Wolf PackAway
24.1 : 22.0
projected points
Northern Illinois HuskiesHome
58%Nevada
42%N Illinois
Eagle safe pickUnder 56.5 points
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies is Nevada Wolf Pack to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Nevada Wolf Pack 24.1 and Northern Illinois Huskies 22.0. Our best bet is Under 56.5 points at -306.

Prediction
Nevada Wolf Pack to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Nevada Wolf Pack 24, Northern Illinois Huskies 22
Projected total
46.1 points
Best bet
Under 56.5 points at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 56.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

N Illinois to win
42% chanceFair price +1361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Northern Illinois Huskies 42% and Nevada Wolf Pack 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Northern Illinois Huskies won 0 of their last 5 and Nevada Wolf Pack won 2 of their last 5. Nevada Wolf Pack come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Northern Illinois Huskies won 1 of their last 8 games at home. Nevada Wolf Pack won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Northern Illinois Huskies score 17.1 points a game and let in 30.9. Nevada Wolf Pack score 20.2 and let in 24.9. Their recent games average 47.9 and 45.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 56.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies: Nevada Wolf Pack shade it

The big picture

Northern Illinois Huskies host Nevada Wolf Pack in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 15:30 at Huskie Stadium. Our prediction for Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies is Nevada Wolf Pack to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Nevada Wolf Pack 24.1 and Northern Illinois Huskies 22.0. Our best bet is Under 56.5 points at -306.

Northern Illinois Huskies form

Northern Illinois Huskies have 2 wins and 16 losses in their last 18 games, with 307 points scored and 556 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Nevada Wolf Pack form

Nevada Wolf Pack have 5 wins and 13 losses in their last 18 games, with 364 points scored and 448 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nevada Wolf Pack to score about 24.1 points and Northern Illinois Huskies about 22.0. That points to Nevada Wolf Pack to win. Our safest bet is Under 56.5 points at -306. Our bold bet is N Illinois to win at +136.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

N IllinoisNevada
Games played1818
Wins25
Losses1613
Points scored307364
Points conceded556448
Scored per game17.120.2
Conceded per game30.924.9
Home record1W 7L3W 6L
Away record1W 9L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

N Illinois spreadCoversFair
N Illinois -4.534%+195
N Illinois -0.543%+130
N Illinois +2.551%-104
N Illinois +5.558%-140
N Illinois +9.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
39.566%34%
43.556%44%
46.549%51%
49.542%58%
53.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. N Illinois +3.5 wins if N Illinois win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies?

Our prediction for Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies is Nevada Wolf Pack to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Nevada Wolf Pack 24.1 and Northern Illinois Huskies 22.0. Our best bet is Under 56.5 points at -306.

What is the projected score for Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies?

We project Nevada Wolf Pack 24.1 and Northern Illinois Huskies 22.0, about 46.1 points in total.

How are Northern Illinois Huskies playing?

Northern Illinois Huskies have 2 wins and 16 losses in their last 18 games, with 307 points scored and 556 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Nevada Wolf Pack playing?

Nevada Wolf Pack have 5 wins and 13 losses in their last 18 games, with 364 points scored and 448 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies?

Under 56.5 points at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in N Illinois against Nevada. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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