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Predictions › United States › Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners prediction

Sun Bowl

Nevada Wolf PackAway
21.5 : 26.7
projected points
UTEP MinersHome
38%Nevada
62%UTEP
Eagle safe pickUnder 58.5 points
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners is UTEP Miners to win, with a 62% chance. We project Nevada Wolf Pack 21.5 and UTEP Miners 26.7. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -293.

Prediction
UTEP Miners to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Nevada Wolf Pack 21, UTEP Miners 27
Projected total
48.2 points
Best bet
Under 58.5 points at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 58.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nevada to win
35% chanceFair price +1891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UTEP Miners 62% and Nevada Wolf Pack 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UTEP Miners won 1 of their last 5 and Nevada Wolf Pack won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UTEP Miners won 1 of their last 7 games at home. Nevada Wolf Pack won 1 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UTEP Miners score 21.2 points a game and let in 33.3. Nevada Wolf Pack score 20.6 and let in 26.0. Their recent games average 54.5 and 46.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 58.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners: UTEP Miners are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UTEP Miners host Nevada Wolf Pack in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 at Sun Bowl. Our prediction for Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners is UTEP Miners to win, with a 62% chance. We project Nevada Wolf Pack 21.5 and UTEP Miners 26.7. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -293.

UTEP Miners form

UTEP Miners have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 297 points scored and 466 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Nevada Wolf Pack form

Nevada Wolf Pack have 3 wins and 11 losses in their last 14 games, with 289 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nevada Wolf Pack to score about 21.5 points and UTEP Miners about 26.7. That points to UTEP Miners to win. Our safest bet is Under 58.5 points at -293. Our bold bet is Nevada to win at +189.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

UTEPNevada
Games played1414
Wins23
Losses1211
Points scored297289
Points conceded466364
Scored per game21.220.6
Conceded per game33.326.0
Home record1W 6L2W 6L
Away record1W 6L1W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UTEP spreadCoversFair
UTEP -12.533%+207
UTEP -8.542%+138
UTEP -5.549%+102
UTEP -2.557%-132
UTEP +1.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
41.566%34%
45.557%43%
48.549%51%
51.542%58%
55.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UTEP +3.5 wins if UTEP win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners?

Our prediction for Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners is UTEP Miners to win, with a 62% chance. We project Nevada Wolf Pack 21.5 and UTEP Miners 26.7. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -293.

What is the projected score for Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners?

We project Nevada Wolf Pack 21.5 and UTEP Miners 26.7, about 48.2 points in total.

How are UTEP Miners playing?

UTEP Miners have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 297 points scored and 466 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Nevada Wolf Pack playing?

Nevada Wolf Pack have 3 wins and 11 losses in their last 14 games, with 289 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nevada Wolf Pack vs UTEP Miners?

Under 58.5 points at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UTEP against Nevada. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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