Predictions › United States › New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF
MLSSun 1 Nov, 19:00 United States time

New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF prediction

Gillette Stadium

New England RevolutionHome
1.54 : 1.70
expected goals
Inter Miami CFAway
34%New England
24%Draw
41%Miami
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-510

Quick answer

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -510.

Prediction
Inter Miami CF to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
New England Revolution 1.5, Inter Miami CF 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -510
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price -5102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price +2551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New England Revolution 34%, the draw 24% and Inter Miami CF 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New England Revolution took 9 points from their last 5 games and Inter Miami CF took 10 from 5. Inter Miami CF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New England Revolution won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Inter Miami CF won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    New England Revolution score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Inter Miami CF score 2.7 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of New England Revolution games and 16 of Inter Miami CF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, New England Revolution won 0 and Inter Miami CF won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Inter Miami CF 1, New England Revolution 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Miamirecent form+1%
New England form D W L L WMiami form D W W L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF shade it

The big picture

New England Revolution host Inter Miami CF in the MLS on Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 at Gillette Stadium. Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -510.

New England Revolution form

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Inter Miami CF form

Inter Miami CF have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. New England Revolution won 0, Inter Miami CF won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Inter Miami CF 1, New England Revolution 1.

Our call

We expect New England Revolution to score about 1.5 goals and Inter Miami CF about 1.7. That points to Inter Miami CF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -510. Our bold bet is Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.5 at +255.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

New EnglandMiami
Games played2020
Wins1010
Draws36
Losses74
Goals scored3154
Goals conceded2936
Scored per game1.62.7
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record5W 2D 3L6W 4D 2L
Away record5W 1D 4L4W 2D 2L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored60%80%
Over 2.5 goals75%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%-528
Over 2.5 goals63%-170
Over 3.5 goals41%+145
Both teams to score65%-185
New England Revolution or Draw59%-143
Inter Miami CF or Draw66%-190
New England Revolution to win and Over 2.524%+309
Inter Miami CF to win and Over 2.529%+239
New England Revolution clean sheet18%+448
Inter Miami CF clean sheet21%+368

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-28.7%
2-17.9%
2-26.7%
0-16.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF?

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF is Inter Miami CF to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -510.

What is the score prediction for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect New England Revolution to score 1.5 goals and Inter Miami CF 1.7.

Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of New England Revolution last 20 games and 16 of Inter Miami CF last 20.

How are New England Revolution playing?

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Inter Miami CF playing?

Inter Miami CF have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when New England Revolution and Inter Miami CF last met?

It ended Inter Miami CF 1, New England Revolution 1. In the last 2 meetings New England Revolution won 0 and Inter Miami CF won 1.

What is the best bet for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF?

Over 1.5 goals at -510, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in New England against Miami. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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