EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union
MLSSat 21 Nov, 14:00 United States time

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union prediction

Gillette Stadium

New England RevolutionHome
1.70 : 1.74
expected goals
Philadelphia UnionAway
37%New England
24%Draw
39%Philadelphia
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-613

Quick answer

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613.

Prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
New England Revolution 1.7, Philadelphia Union 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -613
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price -6132 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price +2481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New England Revolution 37%, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New England Revolution took 9 points from their last 5 games and Philadelphia Union took 5 from 5. New England Revolution come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New England Revolution won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Philadelphia Union won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    New England Revolution score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Philadelphia Union score 2.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of New England Revolution games and 15 of Philadelphia Union games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, New England Revolution won 2 and Philadelphia Union won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Philadelphia Union 1, New England Revolution 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • New Englandrecent form+1%
  • Philadelphiarecent form-1%
New England form L L W W WPhiladelphia form W L D L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New England Revolution host Philadelphia Union in the MLS on Sat 21 Nov, 14:00 at Gillette Stadium. Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613.

New England Revolution form

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Philadelphia Union form

Philadelphia Union have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. New England Revolution won 2, Philadelphia Union won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Union 1, New England Revolution 2.

Our call

We expect New England Revolution to score about 1.7 goals and Philadelphia Union about 1.7. That points to Philadelphia Union to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613. Our bold bet is Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5 at +248.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

New EnglandPhiladelphia
Games played2020
Wins1013
Draws34
Losses73
Goals scored3352
Goals conceded2928
Scored per game1.62.6
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record4W 2D 3L8W 2D 1L
Away record6W 1D 4L5W 2D 2L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals75%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%-629
Over 2.5 goals67%-200
Over 3.5 goals45%+122
Both teams to score68%-211
New England Revolution or Draw61%-156
Philadelphia Union or Draw63%-168
New England Revolution to win and Over 2.528%+260
Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.529%+243
New England Revolution clean sheet18%+470
Philadelphia Union clean sheet18%+445

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
1-28.3%
2-18.1%
2-27.0%
0-15.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Philadelphia Union Secure Playoff Spot Behind Sullivan Brothers Performance

Cavan and Quinn Sullivan both scored as the Philadelphia Union beat Toronto FC 4-1 to secure a playoff spot against New England.

8 Nov 2026
MLS

Philadelphia Union Teen Cavan Sullivan Shines After World Cup Break

Cavan Sullivan has sparked a huge turnaround for the Philadelphia Union, setting teenage records across Major League Soccer.

29 Oct 2026
MLS

Cavan Sullivan Sets MLS Teen Record But Calls His Performance Terrible

Cavan Sullivan set an MLS record for teenage goal contributions, but the midfielder was unhappy with his play in Philadelphia's 3-1 win.

15 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613.

What is the score prediction for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect New England Revolution to score 1.7 goals and Philadelphia Union 1.7.

Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of New England Revolution last 20 games and 14 of Philadelphia Union last 20.

How are New England Revolution playing?

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Union playing?

Philadelphia Union have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union last met?

It ended Philadelphia Union 1, New England Revolution 2. In the last 3 meetings New England Revolution won 2 and Philadelphia Union won 1.

What is the best bet for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

Over 1.5 goals at -613, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in New England against Philadelphia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.