Predictions › United States › New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York
MLSWed 28 Oct, 19:30 United States time

New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York prediction

Gillette Stadium

New England RevolutionHome
1.51 : 0.94
expected goals
Red Bull New YorkAway
50%New England
27%Draw
23%Red Bull NY
Eagle safe pickNew England Revolution or Draw
-341

Quick answer

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York is New England Revolution to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -341.

Prediction
New England Revolution to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
New England Revolution 1.5, Red Bull New York 0.9
Best bet
New England Revolution or Draw at -341
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

New England Revolution or Draw
77% chanceFair price -3412 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

New England Revolution to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price +2781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New England Revolution 50%, the draw 27% and Red Bull New York 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New England Revolution took 9 points from their last 5 games and Red Bull New York took 6 from 5. New England Revolution come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New England Revolution won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Red Bull New York won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    New England Revolution score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Red Bull New York score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of New England Revolution games and 10 of Red Bull New York games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, New England Revolution won 0 and Red Bull New York won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Red Bull New York 1, New England Revolution 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    New England Revolution or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • New Englandrest between games-5%
  • Red Bull NYrest between games-5%
New England form D W L L WRed Bull NY form D L W L WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York: New England Revolution are favourites

The big picture

New England Revolution host Red Bull New York in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 19:30 at Gillette Stadium. Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York is New England Revolution to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -341.

New England Revolution form

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Red Bull New York form

Red Bull New York have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. New England Revolution won 0, Red Bull New York won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Red Bull New York 1, New England Revolution 0.

Our call

We expect New England Revolution to score about 1.5 goals and Red Bull New York about 0.9. That points to New England Revolution to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -341. Our bold bet is New England Revolution to win and Over 2.5 at +278.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

New EnglandRed Bull NY
Games played2020
Wins107
Draws33
Losses710
Goals scored3123
Goals conceded2931
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record5W 2D 3L3W 2D 6L
Away record5W 1D 4L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals75%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%-243
Over 2.5 goals44%+126
Over 3.5 goals23%+334
Both teams to score48%+108
New England Revolution or Draw77%-340
Red Bull New York or Draw50%-101
New England Revolution to win and Over 2.528%+263
Red Bull New York to win and Over 2.512%+768
New England Revolution clean sheet39%+155
Red Bull New York clean sheet22%+351

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-012.3%
2-09.9%
0-09.4%
2-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York?

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York is New England Revolution to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -341.

What is the score prediction for New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect New England Revolution to score 1.5 goals and Red Bull New York 0.9.

Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of New England Revolution last 20 games and 11 of Red Bull New York last 20.

How are New England Revolution playing?

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Red Bull New York playing?

Red Bull New York have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when New England Revolution and Red Bull New York last met?

It ended Red Bull New York 1, New England Revolution 0. In the last 1 meeting New England Revolution won 0 and Red Bull New York won 1.

What is the best bet for New England Revolution vs Red Bull New York?

New England Revolution or Draw at -341, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in New England against Red Bull NY. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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