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Predictions › United States › New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC
MLSSat 10 Oct, 19:30 United States time

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction

Gillette Stadium

New England RevolutionHome
1.56 : 0.98
expected goals
Seattle Sounders FCAway
50%New England
27%Draw
23%Seattle
Eagle safe pickNew England Revolution or Draw
-319

Quick answer

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC is New England Revolution to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -319.

Prediction
New England Revolution to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
New England Revolution 1.6, Seattle Sounders FC 1.0
Best bet
New England Revolution or Draw at -319
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

New England Revolution or Draw
76% chanceFair price -3192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

New England Revolution to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price +2541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New England Revolution 50%, the draw 27% and Seattle Sounders FC 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New England Revolution took 9 points from their last 5 games and Seattle Sounders FC took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New England Revolution won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Seattle Sounders FC won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    New England Revolution score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Seattle Sounders FC score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of New England Revolution games and 10 of Seattle Sounders FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    New England Revolution or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • New Englandrecent form+1%
  • Seattlerecent form+3%
New England form L W W W LSeattle form W W D D DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC: New England Revolution are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New England Revolution host Seattle Sounders FC in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 at Gillette Stadium. Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC is New England Revolution to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -319.

New England Revolution form

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Seattle Sounders FC form

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect New England Revolution to score about 1.6 goals and Seattle Sounders FC about 1.0. That points to New England Revolution to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -319. Our bold bet is New England Revolution to win and Over 2.5 at +254.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

New EnglandSeattle
Games played2020
Wins105
Draws47
Losses68
Goals scored3127
Goals conceded2632
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record5W 2D 2L5W 3D 4L
Away record5W 2D 4L0W 4D 4L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%-269
Over 2.5 goals47%+114
Over 3.5 goals25%+297
Both teams to score50%-100
New England Revolution or Draw77%-335
Seattle Sounders FC or Draw50%+101
New England Revolution to win and Over 2.529%+245
Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.512%+717
New England Revolution clean sheet38%+166
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet21%+377

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-011.6%
2-09.6%
2-19.4%
0-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC is New England Revolution to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is New England Revolution or Draw at -319.

What is the score prediction for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect New England Revolution to score 1.6 goals and Seattle Sounders FC 1.0.

Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of New England Revolution last 20 games and 14 of Seattle Sounders FC last 20.

How are New England Revolution playing?

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Seattle Sounders FC playing?

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC?

New England Revolution or Draw at -319, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in New England against Seattle. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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