Predictions › United States › New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings
NHLTue 13 Oct, 18:00 United States time

New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings prediction

Little Caesars Arena

New Jersey DevilsAway
2.8 : 3.0
projected goals
Detroit Red WingsHome
50%Devils
50%Red Wings
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-394

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Jersey Devils 2.8 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -394.

Prediction
Detroit Red Wings to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
New Jersey Devils 3, Detroit Red Wings 3
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -394

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
80% chanceFair price -3942 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Devils to win
45% chanceFair price +1251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Red Wings 50% and New Jersey Devils 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Red Wings won 2 of their last 5 and New Jersey Devils won 3 of their last 5. New Jersey Devils come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Red Wings won 4 of their last 12 games at home. New Jersey Devils won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Red Wings score 2.9 goals a game and let in 3.5. New Jersey Devils score 3.0 and let in 3.1. Their recent games average 6.4 and 6.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Detroit Red Wings won 1 and New Jersey Devils won 2. The last one ended Detroit Red Wings 3, New Jersey Devils 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Wingsrest between games-5%
  • Devilsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings: Detroit Red Wings shade it

The big picture

Detroit Red Wings host New Jersey Devils in the NHL on Tue 13 Oct, 18:00 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Jersey Devils 2.8 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -394.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

New Jersey Devils form

New Jersey Devils have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 63 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Detroit Red Wings won 1, New Jersey Devils won 2. Last time out it finished Detroit Red Wings 3, New Jersey Devils 5.

Our call

We expect New Jersey Devils to score about 2.8 goals and Detroit Red Wings about 3.0. That points to Detroit Red Wings to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -394. Our bold bet is Devils to win at +125.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red WingsDevils
Games played2020
Wins711
Losses139
Goals scored5859
Goals conceded7063
Scored per game2.93.0
Conceded per game3.53.1
Home record4W 8L6W 3L
Away record3W 5L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Red Wings spreadCoversFair
Red Wings -1.529%+249
Red Wings -0.544%+126
Red Wings +0.561%-154
Total goalsOverUnder
4.572%28%
5.555%45%
6.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Wings +3.5 wins if Red Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings?

Our prediction for New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Jersey Devils 2.8 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -394.

What is the projected score for New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings?

We project New Jersey Devils 2.8 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are New Jersey Devils playing?

New Jersey Devils have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 63 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Red Wings and New Jersey Devils last met?

It ended Detroit Red Wings 3, New Jersey Devils 5. In the last 3 meetings Detroit Red Wings won 1 and New Jersey Devils won 2.

What is the best bet for New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings?

Over 4 goals at -394, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Wings against Devils. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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