Predictions › United States › New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders
NHLSat 3 Oct, 19:30 United States time

New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders prediction

UBS Arena

New Jersey DevilsAway
2.8 : 2.8
projected goals
New York IslandersHome
51%Devils
49%Islanders
Eagle value pickDevils +1.5
-238

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders is New Jersey Devils to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Jersey Devils 2.8 and New York Islanders 2.8. Our best bet is Devils +1.5 at -238.

Prediction
New Jersey Devils to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
New Jersey Devils 3, New York Islanders 3
Projected total
5.5 goals
Best bet
Devils +1.5 at -238

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Devils +1.5
74% chancePrice -238+5.7% value2 units
★

Eagle value pick

Devils +1.5
74% chancePrice -238+5.7% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Islanders 49% and New Jersey Devils 51%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make New York Islanders the favourite at -120, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Islanders won 1 of their last 5 and New Jersey Devils won 3 of their last 5. New Jersey Devils come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Islanders won 5 of their last 13 games at home. New Jersey Devils won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Islanders score 2.3 goals a game and let in 3.4. New Jersey Devils score 3.3 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 5.7 and 6.3 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, New York Islanders won 3 and New Jersey Devils won 2. The last one ended New York Islanders 1, New Jersey Devils 4.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Devils +1.5 is priced at -238. Our fair price is -291, so the bookmaker pays about 5.7% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Islandersrest between games-5%
  • Devilsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders: New Jersey Devils shade it

The big picture

New York Islanders host New Jersey Devils in the NHL on Sat 3 Oct, 19:30 at UBS Arena. Our prediction for New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders is New Jersey Devils to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Jersey Devils 2.8 and New York Islanders 2.8. Our best bet is Devils +1.5 at -238.

New York Islanders form

New York Islanders have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 67 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 8 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

New Jersey Devils form

New Jersey Devils have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. New York Islanders won 3, New Jersey Devils won 2. Last time out it finished New York Islanders 1, New Jersey Devils 4.

Our call

We expect New Jersey Devils to score about 2.8 goals and New York Islanders about 2.8. That points to New Jersey Devils to win. Our safest bet is Devils +1.5 at -238. Our value bet is Devils +1.5 at -238.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

IslandersDevils
Games played2020
Wins712
Losses138
Goals scored4666
Goals conceded6761
Scored per game2.33.3
Conceded per game3.43.0
Home record5W 8L6W 3L
Away record2W 5L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Islanders to win49%+106-120-11.1%
Devils to win45%+121+100-9.5%
Islanders -1.526%+286+195-23.6%
Devils +1.574%-291-238+5.7%
Over 5.5 goals47%+112-130-16.6%
Under 5.5 goals47%+115+110-2.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Islanders spreadCoversFair
Islanders -1.527%+272
Islanders -0.542%+138
Islanders +0.559%-141
Total goalsOverUnder
4.567%33%
5.550%50%
6.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Islanders +3.5 wins if Islanders win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders?

Our prediction for New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders is New Jersey Devils to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Jersey Devils 2.8 and New York Islanders 2.8. Our best bet is Devils +1.5 at -238.

What is the projected score for New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders?

We project New Jersey Devils 2.8 and New York Islanders 2.8, about 5.5 goals in total.

How are New York Islanders playing?

New York Islanders have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 67 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 8 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are New Jersey Devils playing?

New Jersey Devils have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when New York Islanders and New Jersey Devils last met?

It ended New York Islanders 1, New Jersey Devils 4. In the last 5 meetings New York Islanders won 3 and New Jersey Devils won 2.

What is the best bet for New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders?

Devils +1.5 at -238, with a 74% chance. That price pays about 5.7% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Islanders against Devils. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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