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Predictions › United States › New Mexico Lobos vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 22:30 United States time

New Mexico Lobos vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors prediction

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

New Mexico LobosAway
21.8 : 22.2
projected points
Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHome
52%New Mexico
48%Hawai'i
Eagle safe pickOver 33.5 points
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Mexico Lobos 21.8 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 22.2. Our best bet is Over 33.5 points at -296.

Prediction
New Mexico Lobos to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
New Mexico Lobos 22, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 22
Projected total
43.9 points
Best bet
Over 33.5 points at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 33.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 48% and New Mexico Lobos 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 1 of their last 5 and New Mexico Lobos won 4 of their last 5. New Mexico Lobos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 6 of their last 9 games at home. New Mexico Lobos won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors score 26.6 points a game and let in 23.8. New Mexico Lobos score 32.5 and let in 17.9. Their recent games average 50.4 and 50.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 33.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Mexico Lobos vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: New Mexico Lobos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors host New Mexico Lobos in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 22:30 at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Mexico Lobos 21.8 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 22.2. Our best bet is Over 33.5 points at -296.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors form

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 399 points scored and 357 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

New Mexico Lobos form

New Mexico Lobos have 12 wins and 4 losses in their last 16 games, with 520 points scored and 287 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect New Mexico Lobos to score about 21.8 points and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors about 22.2. That points to New Mexico Lobos to win. Our safest bet is Over 33.5 points at -296.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

Hawai'iNew Mexico
Games played1516
Wins812
Losses74
Points scored399520
Points conceded357287
Scored per game26.632.5
Conceded per game23.817.9
Home record6W 3L8W 0L
Away record2W 4L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Hawai'i spreadCoversFair
Hawai'i -7.533%+204
Hawai'i -3.542%+136
Hawai'i -0.550%+101
Hawai'i +2.557%-134
Hawai'i +6.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
36.568%32%
40.559%41%
43.551%49%
46.544%56%
50.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hawai'i +3.5 wins if Hawai'i win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New Mexico Lobos vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?

Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Mexico Lobos 21.8 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 22.2. Our best bet is Over 33.5 points at -296.

What is the projected score for New Mexico Lobos vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?

We project New Mexico Lobos 21.8 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 22.2, about 43.9 points in total.

How are Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors playing?

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 399 points scored and 357 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are New Mexico Lobos playing?

New Mexico Lobos have 12 wins and 4 losses in their last 16 games, with 520 points scored and 287 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for New Mexico Lobos vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?

Over 33.5 points at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hawai'i against New Mexico. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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