EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack
College FootballFri 6 Nov, 21:00 United States time

New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction

Mackay Stadium

New Mexico LobosAway
23.9 : 22.7
projected points
Nevada Wolf PackHome
55%New Mexico
45%Nevada
Eagle safe pickNevada +11.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Mexico Lobos 23.9 and Nevada Wolf Pack 22.7. Our best bet is Nevada +11.5 at -299.

Prediction
New Mexico Lobos to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
New Mexico Lobos 24, Nevada Wolf Pack 23
Projected total
46.7 points
Best bet
Nevada +11.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nevada +11.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nevada to win
45% chanceFair price +1231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nevada Wolf Pack 45% and New Mexico Lobos 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nevada Wolf Pack won 2 of their last 5 and New Mexico Lobos won 4 of their last 5. New Mexico Lobos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nevada Wolf Pack won 3 of their last 9 games at home. New Mexico Lobos won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Nevada Wolf Pack score 21.4 points a game and let in 24.8. New Mexico Lobos score 31.2 and let in 17.4. Their recent games average 46.2 and 48.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Nevada Wolf Pack won 0 and New Mexico Lobos won 1. The last one ended New Mexico Lobos 24, Nevada Wolf Pack 22.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nevada +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack: New Mexico Lobos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nevada Wolf Pack host New Mexico Lobos in the College Football on Fri 6 Nov, 21:00 at Mackay Stadium. Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Mexico Lobos 23.9 and Nevada Wolf Pack 22.7. Our best bet is Nevada +11.5 at -299.

Nevada Wolf Pack form

Nevada Wolf Pack have 5 wins and 12 losses in their last 17 games, with 364 points scored and 421 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

New Mexico Lobos form

New Mexico Lobos have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 562 points scored and 313 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Nevada Wolf Pack won 0, New Mexico Lobos won 1. Last time out it finished New Mexico Lobos 24, Nevada Wolf Pack 22.

Our call

We expect New Mexico Lobos to score about 23.9 points and Nevada Wolf Pack about 22.7. That points to New Mexico Lobos to win. Our safest bet is Nevada +11.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Nevada to win at +123.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

NevadaNew Mexico
Games played1718
Wins514
Losses124
Points scored364562
Points conceded421313
Scored per game21.431.2
Conceded per game24.817.4
Home record3W 6L9W 0L
Away record2W 6L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nevada spreadCoversFair
Nevada -5.534%+197
Nevada -1.543%+131
Nevada +1.551%-103
Nevada +4.558%-139
Nevada +8.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
39.567%33%
43.558%42%
46.550%50%
49.543%57%
53.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nevada +3.5 wins if Nevada win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Mexico Lobos 23.9 and Nevada Wolf Pack 22.7. Our best bet is Nevada +11.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

We project New Mexico Lobos 23.9 and Nevada Wolf Pack 22.7, about 46.7 points in total.

How are Nevada Wolf Pack playing?

Nevada Wolf Pack have 5 wins and 12 losses in their last 17 games, with 364 points scored and 421 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are New Mexico Lobos playing?

New Mexico Lobos have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 562 points scored and 313 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Nevada Wolf Pack and New Mexico Lobos last met?

It ended New Mexico Lobos 24, Nevada Wolf Pack 22. In the last 1 meeting Nevada Wolf Pack won 0 and New Mexico Lobos won 1.

What is the best bet for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

Nevada +11.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nevada against New Mexico. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.