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Predictions › United States › New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 16:00 United States time

New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans prediction

CEFCU Stadium

New Mexico LobosAway
25.0 : 20.5
projected points
San José State SpartansHome
61%New Mexico
39%San José St
Eagle safe pickNew Mexico +5.5
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 61% chance. We project New Mexico Lobos 25.0 and San José State Spartans 20.5. Our best bet is New Mexico +5.5 at -294.

Prediction
New Mexico Lobos to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
New Mexico Lobos 25, San José State Spartans 20
Projected total
45.5 points
Best bet
New Mexico +5.5 at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

New Mexico +5.5
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San José St to win
39% chanceFair price +1571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San José State Spartans 39% and New Mexico Lobos 61%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San José State Spartans won 3 of their last 5 and New Mexico Lobos won 4 of their last 5. New Mexico Lobos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San José State Spartans won 4 of their last 8 games at home. New Mexico Lobos won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San José State Spartans score 22.7 points a game and let in 28.7. New Mexico Lobos score 31.8 and let in 17.5. Their recent games average 51.4 and 49.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, San José State Spartans won 1 and New Mexico Lobos won 0. The last one ended San José State Spartans 35, New Mexico Lobos 28.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    New Mexico +5.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans: New Mexico Lobos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San José State Spartans host New Mexico Lobos in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 at CEFCU Stadium. Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 61% chance. We project New Mexico Lobos 25.0 and San José State Spartans 20.5. Our best bet is New Mexico +5.5 at -294.

San José State Spartans form

San José State Spartans have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 386 points scored and 488 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

New Mexico Lobos form

New Mexico Lobos have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 541 points scored and 297 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. San José State Spartans won 1, New Mexico Lobos won 0. Last time out it finished San José State Spartans 35, New Mexico Lobos 28.

Our call

We expect New Mexico Lobos to score about 25.0 points and San José State Spartans about 20.5. That points to New Mexico Lobos to win. Our safest bet is New Mexico +5.5 at -294. Our bold bet is San José St to win at +157.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

San José StNew Mexico
Games played1717
Wins713
Losses104
Points scored386541
Points conceded488297
Scored per game22.731.8
Conceded per game28.717.5
Home record4W 4L8W 0L
Away record3W 6L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

San José St spreadCoversFair
San José St -2.533%+203
San José St +1.542%+136
San José St +4.550%+101
San José St +7.557%-134
San José St +11.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
38.567%33%
42.557%43%
45.550%50%
48.543%57%
52.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. San José St +3.5 wins if San José St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans?

Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 61% chance. We project New Mexico Lobos 25.0 and San José State Spartans 20.5. Our best bet is New Mexico +5.5 at -294.

What is the projected score for New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans?

We project New Mexico Lobos 25.0 and San José State Spartans 20.5, about 45.5 points in total.

How are San José State Spartans playing?

San José State Spartans have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 386 points scored and 488 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are New Mexico Lobos playing?

New Mexico Lobos have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 541 points scored and 297 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when San José State Spartans and New Mexico Lobos last met?

It ended San José State Spartans 35, New Mexico Lobos 28. In the last 1 meeting San José State Spartans won 1 and New Mexico Lobos won 0.

What is the best bet for New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans?

New Mexico +5.5 at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San José St against New Mexico. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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