Predictions › United States › New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys
College FootballFri 20 Nov, 21:00 United States time

New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys prediction

War Memorial Stadium

New Mexico LobosAway
19.4 : 20.2
projected points
Wyoming CowboysHome
52%New Mexico
48%Wyoming
Eagle safe pickWyoming +9.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Mexico Lobos 19.4 and Wyoming Cowboys 20.2. Our best bet is Wyoming +9.5 at -300.

Prediction
New Mexico Lobos to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
New Mexico Lobos 19, Wyoming Cowboys 20
Projected total
39.5 points
Best bet
Wyoming +9.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wyoming +9.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wyoming Cowboys 48% and New Mexico Lobos 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wyoming Cowboys won 4 of their last 5 and New Mexico Lobos won 5 of their last 5. New Mexico Lobos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wyoming Cowboys won 6 of their last 9 games at home. New Mexico Lobos won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Wyoming Cowboys score 18.3 points a game and let in 22.8. New Mexico Lobos score 30.7 and let in 16.6. Their recent games average 41.2 and 47.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Wyoming +9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys: New Mexico Lobos shade it

The big picture

Wyoming Cowboys host New Mexico Lobos in the College Football on Fri 20 Nov, 21:00 at War Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Mexico Lobos 19.4 and Wyoming Cowboys 20.2. Our best bet is Wyoming +9.5 at -300.

Wyoming Cowboys form

Wyoming Cowboys have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 348 points scored and 434 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

New Mexico Lobos form

New Mexico Lobos have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 614 points scored and 332 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect New Mexico Lobos to score about 19.4 points and Wyoming Cowboys about 20.2. That points to New Mexico Lobos to win. Our safest bet is Wyoming +9.5 at -300.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WyomingNew Mexico
Games played1920
Wins816
Losses114
Points scored348614
Points conceded434332
Scored per game18.330.7
Conceded per game22.816.6
Home record6W 3L9W 0L
Away record2W 8L7W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Wyoming spreadCoversFair
Wyoming -7.534%+196
Wyoming -3.543%+131
Wyoming -0.551%-103
Wyoming +2.558%-139
Wyoming +6.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
32.567%33%
36.558%42%
39.550%50%
42.543%57%
46.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wyoming +3.5 wins if Wyoming win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys?

Our prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Mexico Lobos 19.4 and Wyoming Cowboys 20.2. Our best bet is Wyoming +9.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys?

We project New Mexico Lobos 19.4 and Wyoming Cowboys 20.2, about 39.5 points in total.

How are Wyoming Cowboys playing?

Wyoming Cowboys have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 348 points scored and 434 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are New Mexico Lobos playing?

New Mexico Lobos have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 614 points scored and 332 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys?

Wyoming +9.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wyoming against New Mexico. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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