Predictions › United States › New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers
College FootballWed 7 Oct, 19:30 United States time

New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers prediction

Pitbull Stadium

New Mexico State AggiesAway
20.1 : 31.0
projected points
Florida International PanthersHome
24%New Mexico St
76%FIU
Eagle safe pickFIU to win
-309

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers is Florida International Panthers to win, with a 76% chance. We project New Mexico State Aggies 20.1 and Florida International Panthers 31.0. Our best bet is FIU to win at -309.

Prediction
Florida International Panthers to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
New Mexico State Aggies 20, Florida International Panthers 31
Projected total
51.1 points
Best bet
FIU to win at -309

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FIU to win
76% chanceFair price -3092 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Florida International Panthers 76% and New Mexico State Aggies 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Florida International Panthers won 2 of their last 5 and New Mexico State Aggies won 1 of their last 5. Florida International Panthers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Florida International Panthers won 5 of their last 7 games at home. New Mexico State Aggies won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Florida International Panthers score 26.7 points a game and let in 27.0. New Mexico State Aggies score 23.1 and let in 30.9. Their recent games average 53.7 and 54.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    FIU to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FIUrest between games-5%
  • New Mexico Strest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers: Florida International Panthers are favourites

The big picture

Florida International Panthers host New Mexico State Aggies in the College Football on Wed 7 Oct, 19:30 at Pitbull Stadium. Our prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers is Florida International Panthers to win, with a 76% chance. We project New Mexico State Aggies 20.1 and Florida International Panthers 31.0. Our best bet is FIU to win at -309.

Florida International Panthers form

Florida International Panthers have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 401 points scored and 405 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

New Mexico State Aggies form

New Mexico State Aggies have 3 wins and 11 losses in their last 14 games, with 324 points scored and 433 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect New Mexico State Aggies to score about 20.1 points and Florida International Panthers about 31.0. That points to Florida International Panthers to win. Our safest bet is FIU to win at -309.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

FIUNew Mexico St
Games played1514
Wins83
Losses711
Points scored401324
Points conceded405433
Scored per game26.723.1
Conceded per game27.030.9
Home record5W 2L2W 4L
Away record3W 5L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

FIU spreadCoversFair
FIU -17.534%+196
FIU -13.543%+131
FIU -10.551%-103
FIU -7.558%-139
FIU -3.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
44.566%34%
48.556%44%
51.549%51%
54.542%58%
58.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. FIU +3.5 wins if FIU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers?

Our prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers is Florida International Panthers to win, with a 76% chance. We project New Mexico State Aggies 20.1 and Florida International Panthers 31.0. Our best bet is FIU to win at -309.

What is the projected score for New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers?

We project New Mexico State Aggies 20.1 and Florida International Panthers 31.0, about 51.1 points in total.

How are Florida International Panthers playing?

Florida International Panthers have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 401 points scored and 405 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are New Mexico State Aggies playing?

New Mexico State Aggies have 3 wins and 11 losses in their last 14 games, with 324 points scored and 433 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers?

FIU to win at -309, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FIU against New Mexico St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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