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Predictions › United States › New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 15:00 United States time

New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears prediction

Robert W. Plaster Stadium

New Mexico State AggiesAway
18.9 : 29.5
projected points
Missouri State BearsHome
24%New Mexico St
76%Missouri St
Eagle safe pickMissouri St to win
-317

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears is Missouri State Bears to win, with a 76% chance. We project New Mexico State Aggies 18.9 and Missouri State Bears 29.5. Our best bet is Missouri St to win at -317.

Prediction
Missouri State Bears to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
New Mexico State Aggies 19, Missouri State Bears 30
Projected total
48.4 points
Best bet
Missouri St to win at -317

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Missouri St to win
76% chanceFair price -3172 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Missouri State Bears 76% and New Mexico State Aggies 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Missouri State Bears won 2 of their last 5 and New Mexico State Aggies won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Missouri State Bears won 6 of their last 10 games at home. New Mexico State Aggies won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Missouri State Bears score 26.0 points a game and let in 27.8. New Mexico State Aggies score 21.7 and let in 28.7. Their recent games average 53.8 and 50.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Missouri State Bears won 1 and New Mexico State Aggies won 0. The last one ended New Mexico State Aggies 17, Missouri State Bears 24.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Missouri St to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears: Missouri State Bears are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Missouri State Bears host New Mexico State Aggies in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 at Robert W. Plaster Stadium. Our prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears is Missouri State Bears to win, with a 76% chance. We project New Mexico State Aggies 18.9 and Missouri State Bears 29.5. Our best bet is Missouri St to win at -317.

Missouri State Bears form

Missouri State Bears have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 494 points scored and 528 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

New Mexico State Aggies form

New Mexico State Aggies have 5 wins and 13 losses in their last 18 games, with 391 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Missouri State Bears won 1, New Mexico State Aggies won 0. Last time out it finished New Mexico State Aggies 17, Missouri State Bears 24.

Our call

We expect New Mexico State Aggies to score about 18.9 points and Missouri State Bears about 29.5. That points to Missouri State Bears to win. Our safest bet is Missouri St to win at -317.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Missouri StNew Mexico St
Games played1918
Wins95
Losses1013
Points scored494391
Points conceded528516
Scored per game26.021.7
Conceded per game27.828.7
Home record6W 4L3W 5L
Away record3W 6L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Missouri St spreadCoversFair
Missouri St -17.533%+200
Missouri St -13.543%+133
Missouri St -10.550%-101
Missouri St -7.558%-137
Missouri St -3.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
41.567%33%
45.557%43%
48.550%50%
51.542%58%
55.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Missouri St +3.5 wins if Missouri St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears?

Our prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears is Missouri State Bears to win, with a 76% chance. We project New Mexico State Aggies 18.9 and Missouri State Bears 29.5. Our best bet is Missouri St to win at -317.

What is the projected score for New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears?

We project New Mexico State Aggies 18.9 and Missouri State Bears 29.5, about 48.4 points in total.

How are Missouri State Bears playing?

Missouri State Bears have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 494 points scored and 528 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are New Mexico State Aggies playing?

New Mexico State Aggies have 5 wins and 13 losses in their last 18 games, with 391 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Missouri State Bears and New Mexico State Aggies last met?

It ended New Mexico State Aggies 17, Missouri State Bears 24. In the last 1 meeting Missouri State Bears won 1 and New Mexico State Aggies won 0.

What is the best bet for New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears?

Missouri St to win at -317, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Missouri St against New Mexico St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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