New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston Bearkats prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Sam Houston to win

77% chanceFair price -3342 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Sam Houston Bearkats 77% and New Mexico State Aggies 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Sam Houston Bearkats won 1 of their last 5 and New Mexico State Aggies won 2 of their last 5. New Mexico State Aggies come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Sam Houston Bearkats won 2 of their last 6 games at home. New Mexico State Aggies won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Sam Houston Bearkats score 18.7 points a game and let in 33.5. New Mexico State Aggies score 22.6 and let in 29.3. Their recent games average 52.2 and 51.8 points in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Sam Houston Bearkats won 0 and New Mexico State Aggies won 1. The last one ended New Mexico State Aggies 37, Sam Houston Bearkats 10.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Sam Houston to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sam Houston +3.5 wins if Sam Houston win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.