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Predictions › United States › New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets
NBASat 24 Oct, 21:00 United States time

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Ball Arena

New Orleans PelicansAway
114.8 : 123.1
projected points
Denver NuggetsHome
25%Pelicans
75%Nuggets
Eagle safe pickNuggets to win
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 75% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 114.8 and Denver Nuggets 123.1. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -303.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
New Orleans Pelicans 115, Denver Nuggets 123
Projected total
237.9 points
Best bet
Nuggets to win at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets to win
75% chanceFair price -3032 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Nuggets 75% and New Orleans Pelicans 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Nuggets won 2 of their last 5 and New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Nuggets won 10 of their last 12 games at home. New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Nuggets score 120.7 points a game and let in 117.2. New Orleans Pelicans score 116.2 and let in 118.2. Their recent games average 237.9 and 234.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Denver Nuggets won 3 and New Orleans Pelicans won 0. The last one ended New Orleans Pelicans 116, Denver Nuggets 122.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsrest between games-5%
  • Pelicansrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Denver Nuggets host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Sat 24 Oct, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 75% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 114.8 and Denver Nuggets 123.1. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -303.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2414 points scored and 2344 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2323 points scored and 2364 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Denver Nuggets won 3, New Orleans Pelicans won 0. Last time out it finished New Orleans Pelicans 116, Denver Nuggets 122.

Our call

We expect New Orleans Pelicans to score about 114.8 points and Denver Nuggets about 123.1. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets to win at -303.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NuggetsPelicans
Games played2020
Wins148
Losses612
Points scored24142323
Points conceded23442364
Scored per game120.7116.2
Conceded per game117.2118.2
Home record10W 2L6W 3L
Away record4W 4L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nuggets spreadCoversFair
Nuggets -14.531%+222
Nuggets -11.540%+150
Nuggets -8.549%+102
Nuggets -5.559%-144
Nuggets -2.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
231.564%36%
234.557%43%
237.551%49%
240.544%56%
243.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nuggets +3.5 wins if Nuggets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets?

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 75% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 114.8 and Denver Nuggets 123.1. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -303.

What is the projected score for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets?

We project New Orleans Pelicans 114.8 and Denver Nuggets 123.1, about 237.9 points in total.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2414 points scored and 2344 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2323 points scored and 2364 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Denver Nuggets and New Orleans Pelicans last met?

It ended New Orleans Pelicans 116, Denver Nuggets 122. In the last 3 meetings Denver Nuggets won 3 and New Orleans Pelicans won 0.

What is the best bet for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets?

Nuggets to win at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nuggets against Pelicans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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